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Soybean Oil Mar '18 (ZLH18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Oil Market Commentary

Wed Sep 26, 7:21AM CDT
Soybean futures are currently 4 to 5 cents higher after also ending the Turnaround Tuesday session with most contracts 4 to 5 cents in the green. Preliminary open interest rose 5,973 contracts. Nearby soy meal was up $1.50/ton, while soy oil saw 11-point gains. A 24-hour strike closed ports in Argentina on Tuesday. Both Brazil and Argentina are planning to import US beans for crushers to replace what was shipped to China. Friday’s Grain Stocks report, released at 11 a.m. CDT, is expected to show 398 mbu of soybean stocks on September 1, based on trade surveys. That is a buildup of 96 mbu from last year and 3 higher than the Sept S&D table. As of Sunday, all of the 18 reported states were matching or ahead of their normal harvest pace except Arkansas. Soybean condition ratings in NE were down 3 points, with NC seeing the largest loss following Hurricane Florence, down 34.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
Margin/Maintenance
$660/600
First Notice Date
02/27/17
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybean Oil Mar '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Mar contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
293,949 (+19,179)
228,603 (+9,577)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
111,430 (+1,098)
181,248 (+10,738)
Producers - Long / Short
172,419 (+12,139)
202,791 (+3,281)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
103,637 (+368)
7,919 (-376)
Managed Money - Long / Short
49,242 (-4,664)
160,088 (+8,917)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
62,188 (+5,762)
21,160 (+1,821)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
32.72 -2.87%
on 02/26/18
-0.02 (-0.06%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
34.10 -6.80%
on 01/05/18
-1.59 (-4.76%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
36.42 -12.74%
on 09/07/17
-1.62 (-4.85%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 31.78
1st Resistance Point 31.78
Last Price 31.78s
1st Support Level 31.78
2nd Support Level 31.78

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52-Week High 36.42
Fibonacci 61.8% 34.46
Fibonacci 50% 33.85
Fibonacci 38.2% 33.24
Last Price 31.78s
52-Week Low 31.28

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