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Soybean Oil Mar '18 (ZLH18)

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Soybean Oil Futures Market News and Commentary

Soybeans Market News and Commentary

Soybean futures are trading 3 to 4 cents lower on Friday. Dec soy meal is down $1.40/ton, with soy oil 16 points lower, as both nearby contracts expire today. Separate soybean export sales of 300,000 MT to China and another 130,000 MT to Unknown both for 18/19 delivery were reported through the USDA’s daily reporting system this morning. Export commitments for soybeans were 33.8% lower than a year ago as of December 6. They were just 48% of USDA’s full year projection prior to the Chinese buys, compared to the 75% average. Analysts estimated Monday’s NOPA report will show 168.444 mbu of soybeans crushed by its members during November. Soy oil stocks are projected to total 1.503 billion pounds. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange estimated that 68.8% of the Argentine soybean crop is planted, above the 66.9% average pace. They also pegged the initial conditions at 19.1% gd/ex, vs. 49.3% gd/ex last year.Jan 19 Soybeans are at $9.03 3/4, down 3 1/4 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans are at $9.17 1/4, down 3 1/4 cents,May 19 Soybeans are at $9.30 1/4, down 3 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans are at $9.41 1/2, down 3 1/2 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal is at $309.40, down $1.40Dec 18 Soybean Oil is at $28.64, down $0.16--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
Margin/Maintenance
$550/500
First Notice Date
02/28/17
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybean Oil Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 4, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
245,739 (-18,243)
232,577 (+5,513)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
106,549 (+9,784)
125,703 (-15,243)
Producers - Long / Short
138,745 (-22,960)
210,603 (+1,946)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
87,970 (+211)
2,950 (-939)
Managed Money - Long / Short
57,990 (+7,237)
117,939 (-13,378)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
48,559 (+2,547)
7,764 (-1,865)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
32.72 -2.87%
on 02/26/18
-0.02 (-0.06%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
34.10 -6.80%
on 01/05/18
-1.59 (-4.76%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
36.42 -12.74%
on 09/07/17
-1.62 (-4.85%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 31.78
1st Resistance Point 31.78
Last Price 31.78s
1st Support Level 31.78
2nd Support Level 31.78

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52-Week High 36.42
Fibonacci 61.8% 34.46
Fibonacci 50% 33.85
Fibonacci 38.2% 33.24
Last Price 31.78s
52-Week Low 31.28

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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