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Soybean Oil Mar '18 (ZLH18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Oil Market Commentary

Fri Sep 21, 4:04PM CDT
Soybean futures settled with losses of 2 to 3 cents in the front months to end the week that saw Nov up 2.02%. Soybean meal was down $5.50/ton on Friday, while soy oil was up 49 points. USDA reported a private export sale of 100,000 MT of soy meal to unknown for 18/19 delivery through their daily reporting system this morning. Weekly export sales data shows that soybeans export commitments (exports and unshipped sales) for 18/19 are down 7.2% from last year. Compared to the USDA export number, they are 32% complete, with last year running 34% at this time and the 5-year average at 42%. Spec traders in soybean futures and options added 1,544 contracts to their largest reported net short position since January 23 at 69,813 contracts. AgRural estimates that Brazil has 1.9% of their soybean area planted, vs. 0.3% for the 5-year average.NOV 18 Soybeans closed at $8.47 1/4, down 3 cents,JAN 19 Soybeans closed at $8.61 1/4, down 2 3/4 cents,MAR 19 Soybeans closed at $8.74 1/4, down 2 3/4 cents,MAY 19 Soybeans closed at $8.87 1/2, down 2 1/4 cents,OCT 18 Soybean Meal closed at $305.90, down $5.50,OCT 18 Soybean Oil closed at $28.09, up $0.49

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
Margin/Maintenance
$660/600
First Notice Date
02/27/17
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybean Oil Mar '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Mar contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
293,949 (+19,179)
228,603 (+9,577)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
111,430 (+1,098)
181,248 (+10,738)
Producers - Long / Short
172,419 (+12,139)
202,791 (+3,281)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
103,637 (+368)
7,919 (-376)
Managed Money - Long / Short
49,242 (-4,664)
160,088 (+8,917)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
62,188 (+5,762)
21,160 (+1,821)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
32.72 -2.87%
on 02/26/18
-0.02 (-0.06%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
34.10 -6.80%
on 01/05/18
-1.59 (-4.76%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
31.28 +1.60%
on 03/09/18
36.42 -12.74%
on 09/07/17
-1.62 (-4.85%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 31.78
1st Resistance Point 31.78
Last Price 31.78s
1st Support Level 31.78
2nd Support Level 31.78

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52-Week High 36.42
Fibonacci 61.8% 34.46
Fibonacci 50% 33.85
Fibonacci 38.2% 33.24
Last Price 31.78s
52-Week Low 31.28

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