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Corn Dec '18 (ZCZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Corn Market Commentary

Tue Sep 18, 5:12PM CDT
Corn futures saw losses of 4 to 4 3/4 cents in most contracts on Tuesday. Green Plains is “idling” 2 Iowa ethanol plants and slowing production in another Minnesota plant, citing lower margins according to reports. Informa Economics estimates that US producers will plant 93.044 million acres of corn in 2019. That would be ~4 million acres above this year. Condition ratings in NE and MN were higher in Monday’s report, with the three I states (IA, IL, & IN) slightly lower. North Carolina ratings were down as expected due to the hurricane. Very little harvest progress was shown despite a last minute push. Chicken producers are also reporting death losses from the hurricane. Two Separate South Korean importers purchased a total of 134,000 MT of corn on Tuesday.DEC 18 Corn closed at $3.43 1/4, down 4 3/4 cents,MAR 19 Corn closed at $3.55 1/2, down 4 1/2 cents,MAY 19 Corn closed at $3.64, down 4 1/4 centsJUL 19 Corn closed at $3.70 3/4, down 4 cents

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Corn
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$880/800
First Notice Date
11/29/18 (71 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (86 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Corn Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
753,409 (+17,385)
804,135 (+15,811)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
490,870 (-12,716)
421,662 (-10,039)
Producers - Long / Short
479,020 (+12,491)
720,222 (+12,002)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
220,229 (+5,475)
29,753 (+4,390)
Managed Money - Long / Short
258,836 (-8,043)
342,728 (-4,690)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
232,034 (-4,673)
78,934 (-5,349)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
342-4 +0.36%
on 09/18/18
380-4 -9.66%
on 08/20/18
-35-0 (-9.24%)
since 08/17/18
3-Month
342-4 +0.36%
on 09/18/18
388-4 -11.52%
on 07/31/18
-31-6 (-8.46%)
since 06/19/18
52-Week
342-4 +0.36%
on 09/18/18
429-4 -19.97%
on 05/24/18
-47-4 (-12.14%)
since 09/19/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 351-1
1st Resistance Point 347-1
Last Price 343-4
1st Support Level 340-7
2nd Support Level 338-5

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52-Week High 429-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 396-2
Fibonacci 50% 386-0
Fibonacci 38.2% 375-6
Last Price 343-4
52-Week Low 342-4

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