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Corn Dec '18 (ZCZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Corn Market Commentary

Mon Oct 15, 7:24AM CDT
Corn futures are trading 1 cent lower this morning after gaining 3 3/4 to 4 1/2 cents on Friday. Weekly export sales totaled 1.007 MMT in the week of 10/4.That was down 29.65% wk/wk and 36.25% lower than the same week in 2017. Friday afternoon’s CFTC report indicated spec funds trimmed their net short position in corn futures and options by 23,732 contracts in the reporting week ending October 9, leaving them net short 34,032 contracts. Trade ideas for US corn harvest appear to be running 39-40% completed, which would still be ahead of the 5 year average pace.--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Corn
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$880/800
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (46 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (60 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Corn Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
751,314 (-15,606)
797,957 (-11,851)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
441,122 (-12,212)
375,187 (-21,982)
Producers - Long / Short
465,517 (-17,555)
706,491 (-14,770)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
222,889 (+1,528)
28,558 (+2,498)
Managed Money - Long / Short
252,289 (+3,909)
291,688 (-24,079)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
188,833 (-16,121)
83,499 (+2,097)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
342-4 +9.34%
on 09/18/18
375-0 -0.13%
on 10/15/18
+22-6 (+6.47%)
since 09/14/18
3-Month
342-4 +9.34%
on 09/18/18
388-4 -3.60%
on 07/31/18
+19-6 (+5.57%)
since 07/13/18
52-Week
342-4 +9.34%
on 09/18/18
429-4 -12.81%
on 05/24/18
-23-6 (-5.96%)
since 10/13/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 377-5
1st Resistance Point 375-5
Last Price 374-6
1st Support Level 370-1
2nd Support Level 366-5

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52-Week High 429-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 396-2
Fibonacci 50% 386-0
Fibonacci 38.2% 375-6
Last Price 374-6
52-Week Low 342-4

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