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Corn Dec '18 (ZCZ18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Corn
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$880/800
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (108 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (122 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 7, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
783,831 (-17,422)
880,176 (-13,989)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
523,538 (-33,744)
402,223 (-44,486)
Producers - Long / Short
495,397 (-8,597)
757,966 (-13,833)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
196,736 (-5,585)
30,512 (+3,084)
Managed Money - Long / Short
257,337 (-22,337)
325,362 (-49,925)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
266,201 (-11,407)
76,861 (+5,439)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
352-2 +5.89%
on 07/16/18
388-4 -3.99%
on 07/31/18
+18-2 (+5.14%)
since 07/13/18
3-Month
350-2 +6.50%
on 07/12/18
429-4 -13.15%
on 05/24/18
-41-2 (-9.96%)
since 05/14/18
52-Week
350-2 +6.50%
on 07/12/18
429-4 -13.15%
on 05/24/18
-37-0 (-9.02%)
since 08/14/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Tue Aug 14, 7:25AM CDT
Corn futures are trading 1 to 2 cents higher this morning. They ended the Monday session with most contracts 1 to 2 cents in the red. Export Inspections for the week of August 9 were 1.262 MMT. That was 65.75% larger than the same week last year. The YTD exports are lagging last year by just 0.97%. The USDA Crop Progress report indicated that 73% of the US corn crop was in the dough stage as of Sunday, with 26% dented vs. the 13% average. Condition ratings were down 1% in the gd/ex categories to 70%, as the Brugler500 Index dropped 2 to 377. It is still above year ago. The USDA’s new crop export projection was increased 125 mbu to 2.35 bbu, with the average farm price estimate dropping 20 cents to $3.10-4.10 on Friday. FSA monthly data showed that producers enrolled 918,213 acres in prevent plant for corn as of August 1, which was slightly less than last year (~950 thousand).

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 48% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 375-1
1st Resistance Point 372-7
Last Price 373-0
1st Support Level 367-1
2nd Support Level 363-5

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52-Week High 429-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 399-2
Fibonacci 50% 389-7
Fibonacci 38.2% 380-4
Last Price 373-0
52-Week Low 350-2

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