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Corn May '19 (ZCK19)

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Corn Futures Market News and Commentary

Corn Market News and Commentary

Corn futures ended the Thursday session with most contracts 2 to 4 3/4 cents higher. Corn in flooded grain bins is considered contaminated and cannot be sold commercially. Numerous on farm bins and some commercial ground piles have been flooded. NASS is unlikely to be able to quantify such losses until the June stocks report. Forecasts are showing moisture among already flooded areas in the coming weeks, furthering the ideas of prevent plant acres. This morning’s USDA Export Sales report indicated that 855,944 MT of old crop corn was booked in the week of 3/14, with 60,000 MT for new crop. Combined sales were down 37.08% from the same week a year ago. Japan was the main purchaser of 406,800 MT for combined old and new crop.May 19 Corn closed at $3.76 1/4, up 4 3/4 cents,Jul 19 Corn closed at $3.85 1/2, up 4 1/2 cents,Sep 19 Corn closed at $3.91 3/4, up 3 3/4 centsDec 19 Corn closed at $3.98 3/4, up 3 1/4 cents --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management
Spring Wheat Basis: 'S'-Now Big Deal

If you’re keeping up to date on my basis postings, you’ll recall my most recent piece on soybeans (“Soybean Basis: The Weight of Futures”) talked about the often-inverse relationship between futures and basis. In other words, if the futures market posts a strong rally, grain merchandisers will often soften basis a bit on the idea that futures will do a good enough job of sourcing enough supplies to meet demand. Last week saw national average soybean basis firm, slightly, despite solid gains in futures, until Friday.Spring wheat was different, though. Here we saw the national average basis (cmdty National Hard Red Spring Wheat Index minus futures) actually weaken as the futures market firmed late in the week. To be exact, the May Minneapolis futures contract gained 5 1/2 cents, paltry indeed compared to the rest of the grain and oilseed complex, while national average basis weakened 1 1/4 cents from the previous to finish at 53 1/4 cents under the May. When one considers much of the U.S. Northern Plains remains buried by feet of snow, in mid-March, it seems counter-intuitive that spring wheat basis should be weakening.Until you factor in where bushels are being held. Most of the wheat in the U.S. winds up in commercial storage, where ownership is more easily transferred from seller to buyer. Therefore, if one doesn’t have to wait for the snow to melt before pulling grain out of an on-farm bin, it creates a situation where winter (into spring) weather doesn’t create a similar search for supplies like what has been seen in corn and soybeans. Darin NewsomPresidentDarin Newsom Analysis Inc.
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