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Silver Dec '17 (SIZ17)

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Silver Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals are Mixed on Dollar Strength and Weak Industrial Metals Demand

Apr Comex gold (GCJ19) this morning is up +3.7 (+0.28%) and May silver (SIK19) is down -0.032 (-0.21%). Metals prices are mixed this morning as a slump in stock prices has boosted the safe-haven demand for gold. However, a rally in the dollar index today to a 1-week high is limiting the upside in gold prices, while global economic concerns are weighing on silver prices. The U.S. Mar Markit manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell -0.5 to 52.5, weaker than expectations of +0.5 to 53.5 and the weakest pace of expansion in 1-3/4 years. The Eurozone Mar Markit manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell -1.7 to 47.6, weaker than expectations of +0.2 to 49.5 and the steepest pace of contraction in 5-3/4 years. The weaker manufacturing activity is bearish for industrial metals demand, including silver. Silver prices recovered from their worst levels today after U.S. Feb existing home sales jumped +11.8% to a 1-year high of 5.51 million, stronger than expectations of +3.2% to 5.10 million. Also, fund buying of metals has picked up after long silver positions in ETFs climbed to a 1-month high Wednesday and long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 3-week high Monday. Gold still has support from Wednesday's dovish FOMC meeting where the Fed cut its Fed-dot median forecast to zero rate hikes in 2019 from two hikes.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Silver 5,000-oz
Contract Size
5,000 troy ounces
Tick Size
$0.005 per troy ounce ($25.00 per contract) (Settlement $0.001)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:25a.m. - 12:25p.m.) (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$5,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,630/3,300
First Notice Date
11/30/17
Expiration Date
12/27/17 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Silver Dec '17
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 12, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
69,170 (-1,144)
115,431 (-7,124)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
76,183 (-771)
49,101 (+4,668)
Producers - Long / Short
13,648 (+1,732)
49,087 (-2,811)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
47,787 (-341)
58,609 (-1,778)
Managed Money - Long / Short
51,261 (-3,654)
41,774 (+4,715)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,922 (+2,883)
7,327 (-47)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
15.555 +6.84%
on 12/12/17
17.080 -2.70%
on 11/28/17
-0.401 (-2.36%)
since 11/27/17
3-Month
15.555 +6.84%
on 12/12/17
17.495 -5.01%
on 10/16/17
-0.208 (-1.24%)
since 09/27/17
52-Week
15.245 +9.01%
on 07/10/17
18.890 -12.02%
on 04/17/17
+0.407 (+2.51%)
since 12/27/16

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 16.653
1st Resistance Point 16.636
Last Price 16.619s
1st Support Level 16.591
2nd Support Level 16.563

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52-Week High 18.890
Fibonacci 61.8% 17.498
Fibonacci 50% 17.067
Fibonacci 38.2% 16.637
Last Price 16.619s
52-Week Low 15.245

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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