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Natural Gas Feb '26 (NGG26)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Natural Gas Prices Strengthen on Forecasts for Cold Weather Along the U.S. East Coast

Apr Nymex natural gas (NGJ19) this morning is up by +0.018 (+0.63%). Nat-gas prices are stronger and posted a 1-1/2 month nearest-futures high today on forecasts for colder-than-normal weather this week on the U.S East coast, which may further deplete already tight U.S. nat-gas supplies supply. Accuweather has forecast the low in New York city of 32 degrees Fahrenheit (0 degrees Celsius) on March 22, 3 degrees below normal. A decline in the dollar index to a 2-week low today is another supportive factor for nat-gas prices. Further upside may be limited on the outlook for warmer weather after NOAA forecasted above-normal temperatures across most of the northern U.S. from March 25-29. An increase in U.S. nat-gas output is another negative for prices after today's data showed U.S. lower-48-state nat-gas production at 83.915 bcf, up +4.7% y/y. In addition, the April-May nat-gas futures spread remained negative today and has been negative since Jan 30. A negative spread suggests nat-gas supplies will be ample by the end of the heating season. Nat-gas prices have underlying support from tight U.S. nat-gas supply. The EIA reported last Thursday that U.S. nat-gas inventories fell by -204 bcf in the week ended Mar 8, a much larger draw than the 5-year average of -99 bcf and a record drop for this time of year. U.S. nat-gas inventories continue to shrink as nat-gas stockpiles on Mar 8 stood at a 4-3/4 year low of 1.186 tcf, down -22.6% y/y and -32.4% below the 5-year average.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,035/1,850
First Notice Date
01/29/26 (2508 days)
Expiration Date
01/28/26 (2507 days)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Feb '26
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 12, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
558,494 (-22,402)
568,279 (+454)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
259,376 (+10,280)
284,957 (-13,491)
Producers - Long / Short
245,849 (+6,022)
290,266 (+5,480)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
171,612 (-18,041)
136,980 (+5,357)
Managed Money - Long / Short
228,924 (+12,974)
72,033 (+2,337)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
30,452 (-2,694)
212,924 (-15,828)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
3.132 +3.45%
on 02/26/19
3.240 unch
on 03/18/19
+0.069 (+2.18%)
since 02/15/19
3-Month
3.111 +4.15%
on 01/24/19
3.240 unch
on 03/18/19
+0.110 (+3.51%)
since 12/18/18
52-Week
2.988 +8.43%
on 09/04/18
3.323 -2.50%
on 03/29/18
-0.054 (-1.64%)
since 03/16/18

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Apr Nymex natural gas (NGJ19) this morning is up by +0.031 (+1.11%). Nat-gas prices erased early losses and moved higher after the dollar index tumbled to a 2-week low. Nat-gas prices opened lower on...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 3.240
1st Resistance Point 3.240
Last Price 3.240s
1st Support Level 3.240
2nd Support Level 3.240

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52-Week High 3.323
Last Price 3.240s
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.195
Fibonacci 50% 3.155
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.116
52-Week Low 2.988

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