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Natural Gas Mar '19 (NGH19)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Natural Gas Market News and Commentary

Feb Nymex natural gas (NGG19) on Tuesday fell back from a 3-week high posted in overnight trade and closed down by -0.090 (-2.51%). A rally in the dollar index to a 1-week high Tuesday prompted profit-taking in nat-gas futures. Further losses may be limited on the outlook for much colder-than-normal temperatures for the lower-48 U.S. states later this month. Radiant Solutions forecasts "sizable changes in the colder direction" of below-normal temperatures from Jan 24-28 with freezing weather projected to reach as far south as Houston. Another positive for nat gas prices is reduced U.S. nat-gas output after Tuesday's data showed that U.S. lower-48 states nat-gas production fell to a 6-day low of 84.337 bcf. Thursday's weekly EIA inventory data is expected to show a decline of -71 bcf, a much smaller draw than the 5-year average for this time of year of -218 bcf. U.S. nat-gas inventories remained tight at -5.5% y/y at 2.614 bcf as of Jan 4, which is -15.1% below the 5-year average and the lowest for this time of year since 2003.
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