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Spring Wheat Dec '18 (MWZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Spring Wheat Market Commentary

1 hour ago
Wheat futures are trading 10 to 11 cents higher in most CBT and KC front months, with MPLS up 5 to 6 1/2 cents. A Stats Canada survey showed expected all wheat production at 31.02 MMT for 2018, up 1.04 MMT from the production total in 2017. Durum accounted for 0.75 MMT in that jump at 5.71 MMT in 2018. Global buying interest has really picked up in recent days, notably in North Africa and extending over to Saudi Arabia and now Turkey. Syria purchased 200,000 MT of Russian wheat in a tender this week.DEC 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.21 1/2, up 11 cents,DEC 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.26, up 10 cents,DEC 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.86 1/2, up 6 1/4 cents

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Hard Red Spring Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:30p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
MGEX
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,950/1,500
First Notice Date
11/29/18 (71 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (86 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Spring Wheat Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
32,067 (unch)
27,045 (-2,176)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
12,906 (-965)
14,907 (+1,036)
Producers - Long / Short
28,441 (+89)
27,000 (-2,203)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
3,581 (-116)
0 (unch)
Managed Money - Long / Short
7,151 (-1,159)
7,982 (+648)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
5,755 (+194)
6,925 (+388)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
560-2 +4.91%
on 09/13/18
626-0 -6.11%
on 08/20/18
-37-4 (-6.00%)
since 08/17/18
3-Month
542-2 +8.39%
on 07/12/18
656-0 -10.40%
on 08/07/18
+12-4 (+2.17%)
since 06/19/18
52-Week
542-2 +8.39%
on 07/12/18
660-4 -11.01%
on 05/29/18
-51-6 (-8.09%)
since 09/19/17

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Important Wheat Dates

Natural Flow

Important Wheat Dates

Natural Flow

Redux: Bubble of Historic Proportions

From the first week in January...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 585-6
1st Resistance Point 583-0
Last Price 587-2
1st Support Level 575-4
2nd Support Level 570-6

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52-Week High 660-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 615-3
Fibonacci 50% 601-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 587-3
Last Price 587-2
52-Week Low 542-2

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