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Spring Wheat Dec '18 (MWZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Spring Wheat Market Commentary


Wheat futures are showing 2 to 3 cent gains in the winter wheat contracts at midday, with MPLS down 1 to 2 cents. All wheat export sales in the week ending 11/8 totaled 438.256 MT, on the lower side of expectations. That as down 33.7% from the week prior and 10.4% lower than the same week in 2017. Bangladesh was the lead buyer of 120,000 MT, with Venezuela cancelling 60,000 MT. The French AgriMer estimates that the country’s crop is 92% planted, with gd/ex ratings at 82% vs. 97% a year ago.Dec 18 CBOT Wheat is at $5.08 1/2, up 3 cents,Dec 18 KCBT Wheat is at $4.83, up 3 cents,Dec 18 MGEX Wheat is at $5.73 3/4, down 1 cent--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Hard Red Spring Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:30p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
MGEX
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,690/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (14 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (28 days)

Seasonal Chart

Spring Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 6, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
46,454 (+3,706)
37,701 (+2,865)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
13,450 (+61)
21,466 (+589)
Producers - Long / Short
42,802 (+3,804)
37,602 (+2,827)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
3,553 (-136)
0 (unch)
Managed Money - Long / Short
7,427 (-179)
13,473 (-556)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,023 (+240)
7,993 (+1,145)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
565-6 +0.97%
on 10/31/18
597-0 -4.31%
on 10/17/18
-25-0 (-4.19%)
since 10/16/18
3-Month
560-2 +1.96%
on 09/13/18
631-6 -9.58%
on 08/17/18
-42-0 (-6.85%)
since 08/16/18
52-Week
542-2 +5.35%
on 07/12/18
660-4 -13.51%
on 05/29/18
-72-0 (-11.19%)
since 11/16/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 578-6
1st Resistance Point 575-0
Last Price 571-2s
1st Support Level 569-0
2nd Support Level 566-6

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52-Week High 660-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 615-3
Fibonacci 50% 601-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 587-3
Last Price 571-2s
52-Week Low 542-2

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