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Spring Wheat Dec '18 (MWZ18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Hard Red Spring Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$1,950/1,500
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
MGEX
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (108 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (122 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 7, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
36,227 (+1,883)
34,390 (+6,803)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
16,996 (+3,552)
16,555 (-2,195)
Producers - Long / Short
32,194 (+1,713)
32,975 (+6,831)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
2,656 (+175)
38 (-23)
Managed Money - Long / Short
9,460 (+3,389)
9,157 (-3,245)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
7,536 (+163)
7,398 (+1,050)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
544-4 +11.52%
on 07/16/18
656-0 -7.43%
on 08/07/18
+58-0 (+10.56%)
since 07/13/18
3-Month
542-2 +11.99%
on 07/12/18
660-4 -8.06%
on 05/29/18
-13-2 (-2.14%)
since 05/14/18
52-Week
542-2 +11.99%
on 07/12/18
660-4 -8.06%
on 05/29/18
-27-6 (-4.37%)
since 08/14/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Tue Aug 14, 7:25AM CDT
Wheat futures are 5 to 6 cents higher in the CBT and KC HRW contracts this morning, but hovering near UNCH for MPLS spring wheat. They ended Monday with most KC contracts 17 to 19 cents lower, as CBT and MPLS were down 13 to 16 cents. The weekly Export Inspections report tallied all wheat shipments in the week of August 9 at 462,854 MT. That was 41.73% larger than the previous week but down 9.54% from the same week last year. USDA hiked projected wheat exports 50 mbu on Friday, to 1.025 bbu. That increased rate of exports has yet to begin. The winter wheat crop was 96% harvested on 8/12 (96% avg), with the spring wheat crop 35% harvested vs. the normal pace of 27%. Spring wheat condition ratings were up 1% to 65% gd/ex, moving the Brugler500 Index up 1 to 382. A total of 363,208 wheat acres have been enrolled in FSA prevent plant as of August 1, 40.84% fewer than last year. Egypt’s GASC is seeking wheat for late Sep/early Oct delivery, with the tender to close on Tuesday.

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 633-3
1st Resistance Point 621-7
Last Price 606-0
1st Support Level 603-5
2nd Support Level 596-7

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52-Week High 660-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 615-3
Last Price 606-0
Fibonacci 50% 601-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 587-3
52-Week Low 542-2

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