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Spring Wheat Mar '18 (MWH18)

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Spring Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures are mostly 2 to 4 cents lower in the winter wheat contracts, with MPLS down 6 to 8 cents in the front months. USDA will release the second round of MFP payments and left the second round at 14 cents/bu. Japan’s weekly Ministry of Ag tender is for 71,040 MT of US and 35,060 MT of Canadian wheat, with the tender to close on Thursday. A Ukrainian grain traders union estimates the country’s wheat exports for 18/19 at 16 MMT (USDA currently @ 16.5 MMT), with 19/20 exports projected at 18 MMT.Mar 19 CBOT Wheat is at $5.32 1/4, down 3 cents,Mar 19 KCBT Wheat is at $5.18, down 4 cents,Mar 19 MGEX Wheat is at $5.77 3/4, down 7 1/2 cents--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Hard Red Spring Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:30p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Spring Wheat Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
31,240 (+645)
25,282 (+1,309)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
14,074 (-185)
20,836 (-472)
Producers - Long / Short
29,460 (+752)
25,275 (+1,302)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
1,773 (-114)
0 (unch)
Managed Money - Long / Short
8,678 (-116)
14,826 (-240)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
5,396 (-69)
6,010 (-232)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
592-4 +5.19%
on 02/26/18
636-0 -2.00%
on 03/14/18
+23-0 (+3.83%)
since 02/14/18
592-4 +5.19%
on 02/26/18
636-0 -2.00%
on 03/14/18
+6-2 (+1.01%)
since 12/14/17
555-0 +12.30%
on 04/11/17
816-0 -23.62%
on 07/05/17
+55-2 (+9.73%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 640-2
1st Resistance Point 631-6
Last Price 623-2s
1st Support Level 619-0
2nd Support Level 614-6

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52-Week High 816-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 716-2
Fibonacci 50% 685-4
Fibonacci 38.2% 654-6
Last Price 623-2s
52-Week Low 555-0

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