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Live Cattle Jun '18 (LEM18)

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cmdty Insider - Live Cattle Market Commentary


Live cattle futures are mixed at midday, with nearby Dec down 17.5 cents. Feeder cattle futures are up a quarter to $1.45. The CME feeder cattle index was down $1.04 on November 9 at $150.59. Because of the Thanksgiving holiday, November feeder futures are scheduled to expire this Thursday (11/15). Futures are a little cheap vs. the index with two days remaining. Wholesale boxed beef prices were mixed on Tuesday morning. Choice boxes were down 19 cents at $215.36, with the Select cutout value up $1.02 at $201.41. USDA estimated FI cattle slaughter at 111,000 head for Monday. That was 8,000 below the previous week and 7,000 head fewer than the same day last year. A few bids of $174-175 in the North have been thrown around so far today. Wednesday’s FCE auction is showing only 620 head for sale.Dec 18 Cattle are at $114.750, down $0.175,Feb 19 Cattle are at $118.425, up $0.425,Apr 19 Cattle are at $120.050, down $0.125,Nov 18 Feeder Cattle are at $148.625, up $0.250Jan 19 Feeder Cattle are at $145.175, up $1.450Mar 19 Feeder Cattle are at $143.175, up $1.450--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
06/04/18
Expiration Date
06/29/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Jun '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 6, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
133,169 (+3,864)
197,069 (+3,256)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
119,002 (-785)
43,375 (+2,910)
Producers - Long / Short
36,054 (+1,626)
179,183 (-1,455)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
84,727 (-1,897)
5,498 (+576)
Managed Money - Long / Short
89,520 (-3,848)
29,591 (+4,804)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
29,482 (+3,063)
13,784 (-1,894)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
102.850 +4.04%
on 05/30/18
110.675 -3.32%
on 06/11/18
+3.875 (+3.76%)
since 05/29/18
3-Month
97.075 +10.22%
on 04/04/18
110.675 -3.32%
on 06/11/18
+4.425 (+4.31%)
since 03/29/18
52-Week
97.075 +10.22%
on 04/04/18
121.525 -11.95%
on 11/07/17
-0.400 (-0.37%)
since 06/29/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 110.867
1st Resistance Point 108.933
Last Price 107.000s
1st Support Level 106.033
2nd Support Level 105.067

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52-Week High 121.525
Fibonacci 61.8% 112.185
Fibonacci 50% 109.300
Last Price 107.000s
Fibonacci 38.2% 106.415
52-Week Low 97.075

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