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Live Cattle Jun '18 (LEM18)

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cmdty Insider - Live Cattle Market Commentary


Live cattle futures are trading 12.5 to 60 cents higher in the front months at midday, with deferred contracts lower. Feeder cattle futures are down 15 to 25 cents. The CME feeder cattle index was down $1.10 on November 15 at $147.83. Wholesale boxed beef prices were lower on Friday afternoon. Choice boxes were up 83 cents at $213.74, with the Select cutout value 65 cents lower at $198.22. USDA estimated last week’s FI cattle slaughter @ 641,000 head. That is 1,000 above the previous week and even with the same week last year. Cash cattle trade wound up around $114 in most regions on Friday, with a few dressed sales of $178 reported in NE. Trade surveys suggest the Cattle on Feed report (Wednesday) will show 4.4% more cattle on feed than last November, with October placements fractionally below year ago.Dec 18 Cattle are at $115.925, up $0.575,Feb 19 Cattle are at $119.850, up $0.125,Apr 19 Cattle are at $121.700, up $0.150,Jan 19 Feeder Cattle are at $146.350, down $0.175Mar 19 Feeder Cattle are at $143.725, down $0.250Apr 19 Feeder Cattle are at $144.125, down $0.200--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
06/04/18
Expiration Date
06/29/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Jun '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
126,479 (-6,690)
183,204 (-13,865)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
111,003 (-7,999)
43,361 (-14)
Producers - Long / Short
35,443 (-611)
174,785 (-4,398)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
87,283 (+2,556)
4,666 (-832)
Managed Money - Long / Short
81,825 (-7,695)
30,648 (+1,057)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
29,178 (-304)
12,713 (-1,071)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
102.850 +4.04%
on 05/30/18
110.675 -3.32%
on 06/11/18
+3.875 (+3.76%)
since 05/29/18
3-Month
97.075 +10.22%
on 04/04/18
110.675 -3.32%
on 06/11/18
+4.425 (+4.31%)
since 03/29/18
52-Week
97.075 +10.22%
on 04/04/18
121.525 -11.95%
on 11/07/17
-0.400 (-0.37%)
since 06/29/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 110.867
1st Resistance Point 108.933
Last Price 107.000s
1st Support Level 106.033
2nd Support Level 105.067

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52-Week High 121.525
Fibonacci 61.8% 112.185
Fibonacci 50% 109.300
Last Price 107.000s
Fibonacci 38.2% 106.415
52-Week Low 97.075

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