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Live Cattle Feb '18 (LEG18)

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Live Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary


Live cattle ended the Friday session with nearby contracts lower and back months slightly higher. Feeder cattle futures were within 20 cents on either side on UNCH in the front months. The CME feeder cattle index was down 85 cents on December 5 at $145.53. Wholesale beef prices were higher on Friday afternoon. Choice boxes were up $1.62 at $214.29, with the Select cutout value $2.28 higher at $200.50. USDA’s estimated weekly FI cattle slaughter through Saturday at 667,000 head, up 27,000 head from last week and 28,000 head larger than a year ago. Texas reported $119 cash trade late this afternoon, up $2 from last week. NE saw a few dressed sales @ $187. October beef exports were once again a monthly record 272.155 million lbs, 4.6% larger than last year’s Oct record number and up 5.1% from September. Weekly beef exports were shown at an 8-week high 18,373 MT.Dec 18 Cattle closed at $117.900, down $0.050,Feb 19 Cattle closed at $121.525, down $0.275,Apr 19 Cattle closed at $123.625, up $0.150,Jan 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $144.375, up $0.175Mar 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $141.875, down $0.075Apr 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $142.525, unch,--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
02/05/18
Expiration Date
02/28/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Feb '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 27, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
127,964 (+96)
193,057 (+5,403)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
119,419 (+6,063)
41,887 (-956)
Producers - Long / Short
37,403 (+269)
184,166 (+5,525)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
86,503 (-790)
4,833 (-739)
Managed Money - Long / Short
87,919 (+4,581)
25,915 (-3,088)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
31,500 (+1,482)
15,972 (+2,132)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
123.550 +3.20%
on 01/30/18
130.525 -2.32%
on 02/20/18
+2.900 (+2.33%)
since 01/26/18
3-Month
116.250 +9.68%
on 01/11/18
130.525 -2.32%
on 02/20/18
+1.825 (+1.45%)
since 11/28/17
52-Week
102.750 +24.09%
on 03/03/17
131.950 -3.37%
on 11/06/17
+23.725 (+22.86%)
since 02/28/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 130.533
1st Resistance Point 129.017
Last Price 127.500s
1st Support Level 126.742
2nd Support Level 125.983

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52-Week High 131.950
Last Price 127.500s
Fibonacci 61.8% 120.796
Fibonacci 50% 117.350
Fibonacci 38.2% 113.904
52-Week Low 102.750

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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