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Live Cattle Feb '18 (LEG18)

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cmdty Insider - Live Cattle Market Commentary

Fri Sep 21, 4:04PM CDT
Live cattle futures ended the Friday session with 40 to 65 cent gains. Feeder cattle futures were up 20 cents to $1.25 on the day. The CME feeder cattle index on September 20 was up $1.83 at $156.29. Wholesale boxed beef values were mixed on Friday afternoon. Choice boxes were up 28 cents to $204.80, while Select boxes were 20 cents lower at $194.71. USDA estimated FI cattle slaughter at 657,000 head through Saturday. That is up 5,000 from last week on larger weekend slaughter and 19,000 head above the same week in 2017. Quite a few cash trades showed up this afternoon at $110.50-111 for most regions. The Cattle on Feed report indicated September 1 Cattle on Feed at 11.125 million head, up 5.91% from a year ago. August placements were at 2.07 million head, up 7.37% and above the average trade estimate. Marketings during August were 0.2% larger at 1.983 million head.OCT 18 Cattle closed at $113.075, up $0.625,DEC 18 Cattle closed at $118.450, up $0.550,FEB 19 Cattle closed at $122.250, up $0.650,SEP 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $156.925, up $1.250OCT 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $157.925, up $0.650NOV 18 Feeder Cattle closed at $157.600, up $0.450

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
02/04/18
Expiration Date
02/28/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Live Cattle Feb '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Feb contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
119,239 (+256)
184,408 (+16,488)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
115,352 (+8,808)
34,597 (-10,938)
Producers - Long / Short
33,444 (+776)
177,213 (+15,539)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
83,865 (-478)
5,265 (+991)
Managed Money - Long / Short
91,454 (+8,285)
20,316 (-8,743)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
23,898 (+523)
14,281 (-2,195)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
123.550 +3.20%
on 01/30/18
130.525 -2.32%
on 02/20/18
+2.900 (+2.33%)
since 01/26/18
3-Month
116.250 +9.68%
on 01/11/18
130.525 -2.32%
on 02/20/18
+1.825 (+1.45%)
since 11/28/17
52-Week
102.750 +24.09%
on 03/03/17
131.950 -3.37%
on 11/06/17
+23.725 (+22.86%)
since 02/28/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 130.533
1st Resistance Point 129.017
Last Price 127.500s
1st Support Level 126.742
2nd Support Level 125.983

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52-Week High 131.950
Last Price 127.500s
Fibonacci 61.8% 120.796
Fibonacci 50% 117.350
Fibonacci 38.2% 113.904
52-Week Low 102.750

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