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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures are trading sharply lower at midday, with most contracts 12 to 17 cents lower. All wheat shipments in the week that ended on February 14 were reported at 357,131 MT by the USDA this morning. That was down 36.54% from the week prior and 15.82% lower than the same week in 2018. ABARES pegged the 18/19 Australian wheat crop at 17.3 MMT on Monday, down 3.94 MMT from the year prior. Reuters data shows wheat FOB prices at Russian ports down $6/ton last week, with US still $29/ton lower.Mar 19 CBOT Wheat is at $4.90 3/4, down 13 1/2 cents,Mar 19 KCBT Wheat is at $4.63 3/4, down 12 3/4 cents,Mar 19 MGEX Wheat is at $5.56, down 17 cents --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settle 1:15pm) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 22, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
122,869 (-2,295)
141,829 (+7,516)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
94,213 (+7,844)
84,665 (-1,366)
Producers - Long / Short
68,548 (+1,036)
127,569 (+12,241)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
42,726 (-3,337)
2,665 (-4,731)
Managed Money - Long / Short
69,834 (+7,662)
75,214 (-1,367)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,379 (+182)
9,451 (+1)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
504-0 -2.28%
on 12/13/18
+11-4 (+2.39%)
since 11/14/18
3-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
534-2 -7.81%
on 09/24/18
-23-6 (-4.60%)
since 09/14/18
52-Week
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
626-0 -21.33%
on 08/07/18
+7-6 (+1.60%)
since 12/14/17

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Wheat Market News and Commentary

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 492-4
1st Resistance Point 492-4
Last Price 492-4s
1st Support Level 492-4
2nd Support Level 492-4

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 561-3
Fibonacci 50% 541-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 521-3
Last Price 492-4s
52-Week Low 456-6

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InsideFutures Commentary

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