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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Hard Red Wheat Market Commentary

Tue Sep 18, 5:12PM CDT
Wheat futures ended the Tuesday session with most contracts 3 to 5 cents in the green. Japan is seeking 149,586 MT of US, Canadian, and Australian wheat in a tender that closes on Thursday, with 78,710 MT sought from the US. Egypt’s GASC purchased 180,000 MT of wheat for Nov 1-10 delivery with 2 cargoes from Russia and 1 from Ukraine, with 295,000 MT all Russian for Nov 11-20 delivery. Ukraine’s Ag minister does not expect the country’s wheat exports to exceed 16 MMT, vs. the USDA @ 16.5 MMT. Turkey is tendering for 252,000 MT of wheat, with the tender to close next Tuesday.DEC 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.10 1/2, up 4 1/4 cents,DEC 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.16, up 3 1/4 cents,DEC 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.80 1/4, up 5 cents

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,787/1,625
First Notice Date
11/29/18 (71 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (86 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
105,339 (+2,535)
157,952 (-8,025)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
91,116 (-3,021)
36,890 (+7,279)
Producers - Long / Short
48,744 (+2,738)
137,484 (-8,971)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
44,470 (+231)
8,343 (+1,380)
Managed Money - Long / Short
66,028 (-4,396)
25,843 (+7,997)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
25,088 (+1,375)
11,047 (-718)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
498-6 +4.76%
on 09/13/18
594-2 -12.07%
on 08/20/18
-69-4 (-11.74%)
since 08/17/18
3-Month
493-2 +5.93%
on 07/02/18
626-0 -16.53%
on 08/07/18
-0-2 (-0.05%)
since 06/19/18
52-Week
478-2 +9.25%
on 12/12/17
626-0 -16.53%
on 08/07/18
-9-6 (-1.83%)
since 09/19/17

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 526-1
1st Resistance Point 521-1
Last Price 521-6
1st Support Level 510-7
2nd Support Level 505-5

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 569-4
Fibonacci 50% 552-1
Fibonacci 38.2% 534-6
Last Price 521-6
52-Week Low 478-2

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