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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Hard Red Wheat Market Commentary


Wheat futures are showing 2 to 3 cent gains in the winter wheat contracts at midday, with MPLS down 1 to 2 cents. All wheat export sales in the week ending 11/8 totaled 438.256 MT, on the lower side of expectations. That as down 33.7% from the week prior and 10.4% lower than the same week in 2017. Bangladesh was the lead buyer of 120,000 MT, with Venezuela cancelling 60,000 MT. The French AgriMer estimates that the country’s crop is 92% planted, with gd/ex ratings at 82% vs. 97% a year ago.Dec 18 CBOT Wheat is at $5.08 1/2, up 3 cents,Dec 18 KCBT Wheat is at $4.83, up 3 cents,Dec 18 MGEX Wheat is at $5.73 3/4, down 1 cent--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (14 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (28 days)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 6, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
140,390 (+6,587)
168,720 (+8,109)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
99,981 (+317)
71,736 (-2,169)
Producers - Long / Short
86,206 (+6,424)
148,510 (+8,025)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
42,176 (+53)
8,202 (-26)
Managed Money - Long / Short
69,202 (-874)
62,236 (-1,117)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
30,779 (+1,191)
9,500 (-1,052)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
478-6 +0.84%
on 11/15/18
528-2 -8.61%
on 10/17/18
-45-2 (-8.57%)
since 10/16/18
3-Month
478-6 +0.84%
on 11/15/18
596-0 -19.00%
on 08/17/18
-92-2 (-16.04%)
since 08/16/18
52-Week
478-2 +0.94%
on 12/12/17
626-0 -22.88%
on 08/07/18
-23-6 (-4.69%)
since 11/16/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 487-5
1st Resistance Point 485-1
Last Price 482-6s
1st Support Level 479-5
2nd Support Level 476-5

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 569-4
Fibonacci 50% 552-1
Fibonacci 38.2% 534-6
Last Price 482-6s
52-Week Low 478-2

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