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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures are currently 1 to 3 cents lower in the KC and Chicago contracts. Minneapolis spring wheat is fractionally mixed. They ended the Friday session with most winter wheat contracts 6 1/2 to 9 1/2 cents higher. MPLS was steady to 3 cents higher. May CBT was up 5.18% last week, with KC 2.84% higher and MPLS up 1%. CFTC data showed KC wheat specs expanding their record reported net short position to -49,286 contracts in the week of 3/12. Even with the lower sales total last week, export commitments are now 3% above a year ago. They are 87% of the USDA projected total with the 5-year average pace at 97%.--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,485/1,350
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 12, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
126,127 (+8,070)
109,919 (+4,698)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
87,396 (-3,498)
116,018 (-1,115)
Producers - Long / Short
77,674 (+5,092)
95,199 (+515)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
40,546 (-1,097)
6,813 (+108)
Managed Money - Long / Short
59,230 (-5,038)
110,580 (-366)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
28,166 (+1,540)
5,438 (-749)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
504-0 -2.28%
on 12/13/18
+11-4 (+2.39%)
since 11/14/18
3-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
534-2 -7.81%
on 09/24/18
-23-6 (-4.60%)
since 09/14/18
52-Week
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
626-0 -21.33%
on 08/07/18
+7-6 (+1.60%)
since 12/14/17

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The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 492-4
1st Resistance Point 492-4
Last Price 492-4s
1st Support Level 492-4
2nd Support Level 492-4

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 561-3
Fibonacci 50% 541-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 521-3
Last Price 492-4s
52-Week Low 456-6

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InsideFutures Commentary

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