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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Hard Red Wheat Market Commentary

Wed Oct 17, 5:02PM CDT
Wheat futures closed 4 to 9 lower across the three exchanges on Wednesday. Minneapolis spring wheat was the weakest market. Drier weather allowing winter wheat planting to progress and a stronger US dollar was also an issue for the bulls. Trade estimates ahead of Thursday’s Export Sales report are running 300,000-600,000 MT for 18/19 all wheat sales. Last week’s sales totaled 339,022 MT. A couple optional origin tenders saw South Korea purchase 60,000 MT and Jordan buying 60,000 MT from CHS, while the Philippines bought 55,000 MT of Australian wheat on Wednesday.Dec 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.17 1/2, down 6 cents,Dec 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.21, down 7 cents,Dec 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.88 1/4, down 8 cents

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (44 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (58 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily chart Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average price for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
108,466 (-2,587)
149,409 (-3,770)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
94,927 (-1,181)
54,693 (+1,056)
Producers - Long / Short
58,653 (-1,924)
134,342 (-480)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
42,688 (+906)
7,942 (-1,721)
Managed Money - Long / Short
64,770 (-1,374)
44,498 (+1,205)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
30,157 (+193)
10,195 (-149)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
506-4 +2.37%
on 10/01/18
534-2 -2.95%
on 09/24/18
+2-4 (+0.48%)
since 09/18/18
3-Month
498-6 +3.96%
on 09/13/18
626-0 -17.17%
on 08/07/18
+5-4 (+1.07%)
since 07/18/18
52-Week
478-2 +8.42%
on 12/12/17
626-0 -17.17%
on 08/07/18
-5-4 (-1.05%)
since 10/18/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 531-4
1st Resistance Point 526-2
Last Price 518-4
1st Support Level 517-6
2nd Support Level 514-4

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 569-4
Fibonacci 50% 552-1
Fibonacci 38.2% 534-6
Last Price 518-4
52-Week Low 478-2

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