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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary


Wheat futures posted sharp 10 to 16 1/2 cent gains on Friday, with bulls running on good export sales data. March was 3.01% higher on the week in CBT, with KC up 2.35% and MPLS gaining 1%. The USDA reported a private export sale of 224,000 MT of HRW wheat for 18/19 delivery to unknown destinations. All wheat export sales for the week that ended on 11/29 totaled 711,779 MT, exceeding the range of estimates. That was more than double the same time last year and 88.8% larger wk/wk. HRW sales were the largest of any class in those seven days for the second consecutive week, with SRW sales at a MY high. Actual wheat shipments were up 92.47% from last week at 480,723 MT, which was 42.43% larger than the same week in 2017. The CFTC Commitment of Traders report will be delayed until Monday.Mar 19 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.31 1/4, up 15 3/4 cents,Mar 19 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.12, up 16 1/2 cents,Mar 19 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.81 1/2, up 12 1/4 cents--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (4 days)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 27, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
121,561 (-7,136)
129,652 (-15,499)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
96,446 (-1,582)
91,781 (+8,013)
Producers - Long / Short
67,956 (-2,989)
114,676 (-12,054)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
44,440 (-453)
5,811 (+249)
Managed Money - Long / Short
71,768 (+5,053)
82,516 (+7,931)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,678 (-6,635)
9,265 (+82)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
456-6 +6.08%
on 11/27/18
506-2 -4.30%
on 11/08/18
-17-6 (-3.53%)
since 11/07/18
3-Month
456-6 +6.08%
on 11/27/18
535-6 -9.57%
on 09/11/18
-30-2 (-5.88%)
since 09/07/18
52-Week
456-6 +6.08%
on 11/27/18
626-0 -22.60%
on 08/07/18
-5-4 (-1.12%)
since 12/07/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 484-4
1st Resistance Point 484-4
Last Price 484-4s
1st Support Level 484-4
2nd Support Level 484-4

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 561-3
Fibonacci 50% 541-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 521-3
Last Price 484-4s
52-Week Low 456-6

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