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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Hard Red Wheat Market Commentary

Mon Oct 15, 7:24AM CDT
Wheat futures are trading 1 cent lower to 2 cents higher this morning, with Chicago SRW the firmest. They settled 6 to 10 1/2 cents higher in the three markets on Friday, led by KC HRW amid planting concerns due to wet weather. Friday’s USDA Export Sales report indicated that 18/19 sales for the week of 10/4 were 339,022 MT. That was within trade estimates and nearly double this week last year but still down 22.1% wk/wk. Export commitments for wheat are now just 42% of that full year projection vs the 61% average for this date. The global stocks/use ratio is tightening, so USDA analysts are sticking to their guns on exports.--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management, Call (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (46 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (60 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
108,466 (-2,587)
149,409 (-3,770)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
94,927 (-1,181)
54,693 (+1,056)
Producers - Long / Short
58,653 (-1,924)
134,342 (-480)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
42,688 (+906)
7,942 (-1,721)
Managed Money - Long / Short
64,770 (-1,374)
44,498 (+1,205)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
30,157 (+193)
10,195 (-149)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
506-4 +3.41%
on 10/01/18
534-2 -1.97%
on 09/24/18
+7-4 (+1.45%)
since 09/14/18
3-Month
498-6 +5.01%
on 09/13/18
626-0 -16.33%
on 08/07/18
+7-4 (+1.45%)
since 07/13/18
52-Week
478-2 +9.51%
on 12/12/17
626-0 -16.33%
on 08/07/18
-8-4 (-1.60%)
since 10/13/17

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 533-1
1st Resistance Point 528-5
Last Price 524-4
1st Support Level 516-1
2nd Support Level 508-1

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 569-4
Fibonacci 50% 552-1
Fibonacci 38.2% 534-6
Last Price 524-4
52-Week Low 478-2

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