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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$1,787/1,625
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (101 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (115 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 14, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
113,629 (-3,713)
179,760 (+2,324)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
104,134 (+7,250)
36,504 (-607)
Producers - Long / Short
56,867 (-1,960)
166,647 (+4,841)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
47,243 (+936)
3,594 (+172)
Managed Money - Long / Short
83,694 (+7,077)
22,273 (-612)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
20,440 (+173)
14,231 (+5)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
528-2 +7.24%
on 07/24/18
626-0 -9.50%
on 08/07/18
+32-6 (+6.14%)
since 07/20/18
3-Month
493-2 +14.85%
on 07/02/18
626-0 -9.50%
on 08/07/18
-5-0 (-0.87%)
since 05/21/18
52-Week
478-2 +18.45%
on 12/12/17
626-0 -9.50%
on 08/07/18
+35-6 (+6.74%)
since 08/21/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

1 hour ago
Wheat futures are 2 to 3 cents lower this morning in MPLS spring wheat, and down 7+ cents in the CHI and KC contracts. They ended Monday with most nearby contracts 13 to 18 1/4 cents in the red. USDA weekly Export Inspections were just 345,375 MT. That was 29.14% lower than last week’s report and 41.72% below the same week in 2017. Last night, NASS showed the winter wheat harvest nearly done at 97% complete, as the Northern states finish up. Spring wheat harvest is progressing, with 60% of the acres harvested vs. the normal pace of 44% for this date. The spring crop was rated at 74% gd/ex down 1% from last week, with the Brugler500 down 3 to 379.

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The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 602-5
1st Resistance Point 588-5
Last Price 566-4
1st Support Level 566-3
2nd Support Level 558-1

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 569-4
Last Price 566-4
Fibonacci 50% 552-1
Fibonacci 38.2% 534-6
52-Week Low 478-2

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