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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures are mostly 2 to 5 cents higher this morning with MPLS spring wheat the firmest as the spreads snap back. They ended the day with most winter wheat contracts 2 to 4 1/2 cents higher, as MPLS was down 1 to 2 1/2 cents lower. All wheat export inspections were reported at 516,643 MT in for the week that ended on 1/17. That was down 5.52% from the prior week but 21.96% larger than the same week in 2018. Egypt was the top US wheat export destination for the week @ 117,542 MT. It has been a while since we said that! Private forecaster SovEcon is estimating Russian wheat exports for January will drop to 2.3 MMT from 4.3 MMT in December.--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
108,011 (-1,337)
132,280 (+3,996)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
97,877 (-4,201)
79,791 (-8,811)
Producers - Long / Short
53,208 (-391)
119,820 (+6,191)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
46,986 (+669)
4,643 (-580)
Managed Money - Long / Short
74,898 (-4,434)
70,990 (-7,600)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,979 (+233)
8,801 (-1,211)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
504-0 -2.28%
on 12/13/18
+11-4 (+2.39%)
since 11/14/18
3-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
534-2 -7.81%
on 09/24/18
-23-6 (-4.60%)
since 09/14/18
52-Week
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
626-0 -21.33%
on 08/07/18
+7-6 (+1.60%)
since 12/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 492-4
1st Resistance Point 492-4
Last Price 492-4s
1st Support Level 492-4
2nd Support Level 492-4

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 561-3
Fibonacci 50% 541-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 521-3
Last Price 492-4s
52-Week Low 456-6

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InsideFutures Commentary

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