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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$1,787/1,625
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (103 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (117 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 14, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
113,629 (-3,713)
179,760 (+2,324)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
104,134 (+7,250)
36,504 (-607)
Producers - Long / Short
56,867 (-1,960)
166,647 (+4,841)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
47,243 (+936)
3,594 (+172)
Managed Money - Long / Short
83,694 (+7,077)
22,273 (-612)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
20,440 (+173)
14,231 (+5)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
528-2 +12.02%
on 07/24/18
626-0 -5.47%
on 08/07/18
+58-0 (+10.87%)
since 07/20/18
3-Month
493-2 +19.97%
on 07/02/18
626-0 -5.47%
on 08/07/18
+9-0 (+1.54%)
since 05/18/18
52-Week
478-2 +23.73%
on 12/12/17
626-0 -5.47%
on 08/07/18
+54-6 (+10.20%)
since 08/18/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Fri Aug 17, 4:21PM CDT
Wheat futures posted 15 to 18 1/4 cent gains in the nearby winter wheat contracts on Friday, with MPLS 10 to 12 1/4 cents higher. A weaker US dollar index, down 532 points on the day, provided support. Later in the day on Friday, Mexico’s Economic minister stated that he expects a US/Mexico bilateral deal may be complete by next week. Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed money managers in Chicago wheat futures and options at a net long position of 66,948 contracts. That was an increase of 2,361 contracts from the week prior and the largest reported net long position since September 2012. They also held a net long position of 62,652 contracts in KC wheat futures and options as of Tuesday. The Russian Ag ministry released a statement that they are not considering limiting exports despite rising domestic prices and expect them to total 35 MMT this MY.Sep 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.60 1/2, up 18 1/4 cents,Sep 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.65, up 17 1/2 cents,Sep 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $6.08 1/2, up 12 1/4 cents

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The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 612-5
1st Resistance Point 602-3
Last Price 591-0
1st Support Level 575-3
2nd Support Level 558-5

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52-Week High 626-0
Last Price 591-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 569-4
Fibonacci 50% 552-1
Fibonacci 38.2% 534-6
52-Week Low 478-2

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