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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures ended the Friday session with most contracts steady to 2 1/4 cents higher. A higher dollar limited those gains with some follow through from buying on Thursday. Nearby CBT was down 1 3/4 cents this week, with KC up 1 1/2 and MPLS 0.75% higher. There is also a little talk about potential winter kill on winter wheat, but percentage of the crop with snow cover and the actual low temps observed on bare fields will be the determinants. The Philippines reportedly purchased 85,000 MT of wheat in tenders this week.Mar 19 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.17 3/4, unch,Mar 19 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.06, up 2 cents,Mar 19 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.74 1/4, up 2 1/4 cents--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
108,011 (-1,337)
132,280 (+3,996)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
97,877 (-4,201)
79,791 (-8,811)
Producers - Long / Short
53,208 (-391)
119,820 (+6,191)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
46,986 (+669)
4,643 (-580)
Managed Money - Long / Short
74,898 (-4,434)
70,990 (-7,600)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,979 (+233)
8,801 (-1,211)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
504-0 -2.28%
on 12/13/18
+11-4 (+2.39%)
since 11/14/18
3-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
534-2 -7.81%
on 09/24/18
-23-6 (-4.60%)
since 09/14/18
52-Week
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
626-0 -21.33%
on 08/07/18
+7-6 (+1.60%)
since 12/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 492-4
1st Resistance Point 492-4
Last Price 492-4s
1st Support Level 492-4
2nd Support Level 492-4

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 561-3
Fibonacci 50% 541-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 521-3
Last Price 492-4s
52-Week Low 456-6

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InsideFutures Commentary

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