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Hard Red Wheat Dec '18 (KEZ18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures are hovering around UNCH in the Chicago contract this morning. KC is fractionally higher, and MPLS spring wheat is 2 to 4 cents higher on spread unwinding. Wheat posted 4 to 9 cent gains in most contracts on Thursday after four sessions of sharp losses, with MPLS the strongest. USDA forecasts 2019 wheat acreage at 47 MMT in their annual Ag Outlook Forum, down 800,000 acres from last year. USDA’s catch up Export Sales report is projected to show 2-3 MMT in all wheat sales for the weeks of 1/10-2/14. That implies a 333,000-500,000 MT per week in sales on average. Taiwan is seeking 110,000 MT of US wheat in a tender that is due next Tuesday. The IGC trimmed their world wheat ending stocks for 18/19 by 1 to 262 MMT, mainly on lower production. --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 29, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
126,809 (+3,940)
140,647 (-1,182)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
90,794 (-3,419)
84,919 (+254)
Producers - Long / Short
68,979 (+431)
120,445 (-7,124)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
41,838 (-888)
4,210 (+1,545)
Managed Money - Long / Short
66,080 (-3,754)
76,361 (+1,147)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,714 (+335)
8,558 (-893)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
504-0 -2.28%
on 12/13/18
+11-4 (+2.39%)
since 11/14/18
3-Month
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
534-2 -7.81%
on 09/24/18
-23-6 (-4.60%)
since 09/14/18
52-Week
456-6 +7.83%
on 11/27/18
626-0 -21.33%
on 08/07/18
+7-6 (+1.60%)
since 12/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 492-4
1st Resistance Point 492-4
Last Price 492-4s
1st Support Level 492-4
2nd Support Level 492-4

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52-Week High 626-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 561-3
Fibonacci 50% 541-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 521-3
Last Price 492-4s
52-Week Low 456-6

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