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Hard Red Wheat Mar '18 (KEH18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures closed Monday with 1 to 5 1/4 cent gains in most contracts, helped by decent export data. All wheat export inspections for the week that ended on Thursday December 13 were reported at 682,162 MT by USDA this morning. That was 51.93% above the week prior and 9.12% larger than the same week a year ago. Wheat exports during the 18/19 MY have totaled 11.713 MMT (430.36 mbu) through 12/13, which is now 14.86% below the same week a in 2017. As with the first round of MFP payments, USDA left the second round at 14 cents/bu.Mar 19 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.35 1/4, up 5 1/4 cents,Mar 19 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.22, up 3 3/4 cents,Mar 19 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.85 1/4, up 1 1/4 cents--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
02/28/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
109,348 (+885)
128,284 (+5,739)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
102,078 (+4,433)
88,602 (+845)
Producers - Long / Short
53,599 (-1,013)
113,629 (+3,934)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
46,317 (+105)
5,223 (+12)
Managed Money - Long / Short
79,332 (+4,733)
78,590 (-192)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,746 (-300)
10,012 (+1,037)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
460-0 +11.25%
on 02/22/18
533-4 -4.08%
on 03/05/18
+42-0 (+8.94%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
415-2 +23.24%
on 12/15/17
533-4 -4.08%
on 03/05/18
+93-4 (+22.36%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
410-4 +24.67%
on 12/11/17
614-0 -16.65%
on 07/05/17
+7-6 (+1.54%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 512-3
1st Resistance Point 512-1
Last Price 511-6s
1st Support Level 511-5
2nd Support Level 511-3

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52-Week High 614-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 536-2
Fibonacci 50% 512-2
Last Price 511-6s
Fibonacci 38.2% 488-2
52-Week Low 410-4

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