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Hard Red Wheat Mar '18 (KEH18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary


Wheat futures are mostly 1 to 5 cents higher this morning, with KC HRW the strongest. They closed Wednesday with gains of 5 to 8 cents in most front months, disregarding soon to expire December. The range of trade estimates for all wheat sales in today’s Export Sales report is 500,000-800,000 MT. On Tuesday, USDA narrowed the cash average wheat price estimate by 20 cents to $5.05-$5.25, with the mid-point rising a nickel to $5.15. The same WASDE report saw Australian 18/19 production down 0.5 to 17 MMT, with Canadian up 0.3 to 31.8 MMT. Egypt’s GASC purchased 180,000 MT of wheat on Wednesday, split between Russia (120,000) and Romania (60,000). Iraq purchased 50,000 MT of US wheat from their tender back on Dec. 3, with the deal finalized late on Tuesday. --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
02/28/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 4, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
108,463 (-13,098)
122,545 (-7,107)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
97,645 (+1,199)
87,757 (-4,024)
Producers - Long / Short
54,612 (-13,344)
109,695 (-4,981)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
46,212 (+1,772)
5,211 (-600)
Managed Money - Long / Short
74,599 (+2,831)
78,782 (-3,734)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
23,046 (-1,632)
8,975 (-290)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
460-0 +11.25%
on 02/22/18
533-4 -4.08%
on 03/05/18
+42-0 (+8.94%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
415-2 +23.24%
on 12/15/17
533-4 -4.08%
on 03/05/18
+93-4 (+22.36%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
410-4 +24.67%
on 12/11/17
614-0 -16.65%
on 07/05/17
+7-6 (+1.54%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 512-3
1st Resistance Point 512-1
Last Price 511-6s
1st Support Level 511-5
2nd Support Level 511-3

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52-Week High 614-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 536-2
Fibonacci 50% 512-2
Last Price 511-6s
Fibonacci 38.2% 488-2
52-Week Low 410-4

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