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Hard Red Wheat Mar '18 (KEH18)

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cmdty Insider - Hard Red Wheat Market Commentary

Tue Sep 25, 5:12PM CDT
Wheat futures saw 6 to 7 cent losses in the winter wheat contracts on Tuesday, with MPLS down 3 to 4 cents. The average trade guess ahead of Friday’s quarterly Grain Stocks report is for September 1 wheat stocks to be at 2.344 bbu, 3% larger than last year, on lackluster first quarter demand. As of September 23, NASS showed 21% of the Kansas winter wheat crop had been planted, with OK at 27% and TX 30% complete. Taiwan is seeking 110,000 MT of US wheat, with offers due on October 2. Japan is tendering for 109,150 MT of wheat from the usual Australia, Canada, and US, with 49,470 MT US origin and the close on Thursday.Dec 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.20 3/4, down 6 1/4 cents,Dec 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.22, down 7 cents,Dec 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.81, down 3 1/4 cents

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,787/1,625
First Notice Date
02/27/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Hard Red Wheat Mar '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Mar contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
107,317 (+1,978)
153,875 (-4,077)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
93,574 (+2,458)
45,366 (+8,476)
Producers - Long / Short
53,708 (+4,964)
134,050 (-3,434)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
41,553 (-2,917)
7,769 (-574)
Managed Money - Long / Short
66,792 (+764)
34,255 (+8,412)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
26,782 (+1,694)
11,111 (+64)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
460-0 +11.25%
on 02/22/18
533-4 -4.08%
on 03/05/18
+42-0 (+8.94%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
415-2 +23.24%
on 12/15/17
533-4 -4.08%
on 03/05/18
+93-4 (+22.36%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
410-4 +24.67%
on 12/11/17
614-0 -16.65%
on 07/05/17
+7-6 (+1.54%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 512-3
1st Resistance Point 512-1
Last Price 511-6s
1st Support Level 511-5
2nd Support Level 511-3

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52-Week High 614-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 536-2
Fibonacci 50% 512-2
Last Price 511-6s
Fibonacci 38.2% 488-2
52-Week Low 410-4

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