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Hard Red Wheat Mar '18 (KEH18)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures are showing 3 to 4 1/4 cent losses in most CBT contracts, with KC and MPLS mostly steady to a penny higher. Dec futures expire today. Wheat 18/19 export commitments are now just 9.5% behind this time last year. They are now 60% of USDA’s newly updated projection of 1 bbu, with the normal pace at 77%. Russia’s ag ministry estimates that the country’s 18/19 wheat crop totaled 70 MMT. BAGE estimates that Argentina’s wheat crop is now 75.2% mature, with harvest even with average pace at 57.4%. They estimate condition ratings at 35.8% gd/ex, compared to 63.9% gd/ex last year.Mar 19 CBOT Wheat is at $5.31 3/4, down 4 1/4 cents,Mar 19 KCBT Wheat is at $5.19 1/2, down 1/2 cent,Mar 19 MGEX Wheat is at $5.89 1/4, up 1 cent--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,430/1,300
First Notice Date
02/28/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 4, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
108,463 (-13,098)
122,545 (-7,107)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
97,645 (+1,199)
87,757 (-4,024)
Producers - Long / Short
54,612 (-13,344)
109,695 (-4,981)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
46,212 (+1,772)
5,211 (-600)
Managed Money - Long / Short
74,599 (+2,831)
78,782 (-3,734)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
23,046 (-1,632)
8,975 (-290)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
460-0 +11.25%
on 02/22/18
533-4 -4.08%
on 03/05/18
+42-0 (+8.94%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
415-2 +23.24%
on 12/15/17
533-4 -4.08%
on 03/05/18
+93-4 (+22.36%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
410-4 +24.67%
on 12/11/17
614-0 -16.65%
on 07/05/17
+7-6 (+1.54%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 512-3
1st Resistance Point 512-1
Last Price 511-6s
1st Support Level 511-5
2nd Support Level 511-3

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52-Week High 614-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 536-2
Fibonacci 50% 512-2
Last Price 511-6s
Fibonacci 38.2% 488-2
52-Week Low 410-4

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InsideFutures Commentary

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