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Coffee May '19 (KCK19)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Coffee Prices Fall on Ample Rain in Brazil

March arabica coffee (KCH19) on Tuesday closed down -0.75 (-0.77%) and March ICE robusta coffee (RMH19) closed down -16 (-1.05%). Coffee prices moved lower on Tuesday with Mar arabica coffee at a 2-month nearest-futures low on signs of ample rain in Brazil's coffee-growing regions. Somar Meteorologia reported on Monday that 79.6 mm of rain fell in the past week in Minas Gerais, Brazil's biggest arabica coffee-growing region, or 186% of the historical average, which should boost soil moisture levels and coffee yields. Mar robusta coffee is also seeing pressure on signs of increased supplies in Vietnam, the world's biggest robusta producer, after Vietnam's General Department of Customs reported that Vietnam Jan coffee exports rose +19.4% m/m +41.1% y/y to 183,693 MT. Coffee prices are also seeing downward pressure from ample coffee supplies after the International Coffee Organization (ICO) last Monday reported that global coffee exports during Oct-Dec were up +8.1% y/y at 30.9 mln bags. In addition, ICE-monitored coffee inventories are just below the 4-1/2 year high of 2.489 mln bags posted on Jan 23.
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