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Coffee Mar '19 (KCH19)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary


Mar arabica coffee (KCH19) on Monday closed up +1.05 (+1.01%) and Mar ICE robusta coffee (RMH19) closed down -6 (-0.39%). Coffee prices received a boost Monday after ICO cut its 2017/18 global coffee surplus estimate to 1.59 mln bags from an October estimate of 2.58 mln bags. Also, crop concerns in Brazil gave arabica coffee prices a lift after Somar Meteorologia said rainfall in Minas Gerais, Brazil's biggest coffee-growing region, was 27.7 mm in the past week, or only 43% of the historical average. Mar robusta coffee tumbled to a 2-1/2 month low Monday on increased exports from Vietnam, the world's biggest robusta coffee producer, after Vietnam's General Department of Customs reported Vietnam Nov coffee exports of 138,138 MT, up +32% y/y, and that Vietnam Jan-Nov coffee exports are up +2.8% y/y at 1.72 MMT. Current coffee supplies remain ample as ICE-monitored coffee inventories are just below the recent 4-year high of 2.459 mln bags (Nov 19).
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