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Lean Hogs Jul '18 (HEN18)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Lean Hogs Market News and Commentary

Lean Hog futures are mixed on Friday, with front months steady to 42.5 cents lower and back months slightly higher. The CME Lean Hog Index was down 7 cents from the previous day @ $54.06 on February 20. The USDA pork carcass cutout value was down 2 cents on Friday morning at an average weighted price of $61.21. The national base cash hog carcass value was down 90 cents in the AM report, with a weighted average of $47.24. USDA estimated weekly FI hog slaughter at 1.890 million head through Thursday. That was up 59,000 head from the previous week and 91,000 above the same week last year. Accumulated pork export sales for the weeks of 1/10-2/14 were at 122,900 MT, averaging 20,483 MT/week. China was both buying and shipping.Apr 19 Hogs are at $55.525, down $0.425,May 19 Hogs are at $65.675, down $0.125Jun 19 Hogs are at $76.125, up $0.450--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,485/1,350
First Notice Date
07/16/18
Expiration Date
07/16/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Jul '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 29, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
75,356 (+802)
69,092 (-2,335)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
63,594 (+4,790)
63,455 (+8,975)
Producers - Long / Short
19,320 (+2,457)
63,248 (-2,645)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
51,663 (-1,959)
1,471 (+6)
Managed Money - Long / Short
48,592 (+2,501)
48,746 (+9,822)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
15,002 (+2,289)
14,709 (-847)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
77.975 +2.28%
on 06/25/18
84.075 -5.14%
on 07/03/18
-1.975 (-2.42%)
since 06/15/18
3-Month
74.975 +6.37%
on 05/22/18
84.075 -5.14%
on 07/03/18
+1.075 (+1.37%)
since 04/16/18
52-Week
72.000 +10.76%
on 04/04/18
85.575 -6.81%
on 01/25/18
+3.050 (+3.98%)
since 07/14/17

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Lean Hog futures were just shy of posting limit gains on Thursday, with most front months $2.60 to $2.975 higher. The CME Lean Hog Index was down 30 cents from the previous day @ $54.13 on February 19....

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 80.133
1st Resistance Point 79.942
Last Price 79.750s
1st Support Level 79.642
2nd Support Level 79.533

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52-Week High 85.575
Fibonacci 61.8% 80.389
Last Price 79.750s
Fibonacci 50% 78.787
Fibonacci 38.2% 77.186
52-Week Low 72.000

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