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Lean Hogs Jun '18 (HEM18)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Lean Hogs Market News and Commentary

Lean Hog futures posted limit gains in most nearby contracts for the second day in a row on Thursday. They will have expanded limits of $4.50 again on Friday. The CME Lean Hog Index was up $1.68 from the previous day @ $59.22 on March 19. Futures have been anticipating the rally in cash for several weeks now and are finally seeing the follow through. The USDA pork carcass cutout value was up $2.20 on Thursday afternoon at an average weighted price of $76.25. The national base hog carcass value was up $3.34 in the PM report at an average weighted price of $63.79. USDA estimated WTD FI hog slaughter at 1.887 million head, up 36,000 from the previous week and 41,000 above last year. Export sales of pork for the week that ended on March 15 totaled 29,302 MT, with 3,043 MT sold to China and Mexico buying 15,500 MT.Apr 19 Hogs closed at $78.325, up $4.500,May 19 Hogs closed at $86.600, up $4.450Jun 19 Hogs closed at $94.750, up $4.500 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,705/1,550
First Notice Date
06/14/18
Expiration Date
06/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Jun '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 12, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
91,393 (-1,100)
80,158 (+1,917)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
73,458 (-7,318)
76,905 (-9,538)
Producers - Long / Short
28,806 (-932)
69,879 (+9,458)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
54,183 (+7,290)
1,875 (-83)
Managed Money - Long / Short
53,398 (-5,293)
58,129 (-9,748)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
20,060 (-2,025)
18,776 (+210)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
72.550 +11.89%
on 05/22/18
81.250 -0.09%
on 06/14/18
+5.025 (+6.60%)
since 05/14/18
3-Month
70.250 +15.55%
on 04/04/18
81.250 -0.09%
on 06/14/18
+2.825 (+3.61%)
since 03/14/18
52-Week
70.250 +15.55%
on 04/04/18
85.850 -5.45%
on 01/09/18
+3.275 (+4.20%)
since 06/14/17

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Lean Hog futures posted limit gains in most nearby contracts for the second day in a row on Thursday. They will have expanded limits of $4.50 again on Friday. The CME Lean Hog Index was up $1.68 from the...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 81.325
1st Resistance Point 81.250
Last Price 81.175
1st Support Level 81.100
2nd Support Level 81.025

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52-Week High 85.850
Last Price 81.175
Fibonacci 61.8% 79.891
Fibonacci 50% 78.050
Fibonacci 38.2% 76.209
52-Week Low 70.250

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