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Lean Hogs Jun '18 (HEM18)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Lean Hogs Market News and Commentary

Lean Hog futures were anywhere from $2.10 lower to $1.075 higher on Friday, as April was up 13.84% following two limit up days this week. The 2020 contracts are anticipating over expansion due to these prices. The CME Lean Hog Index was up $1.53 from the previous day @ $60.75 on March 20. The USDA pork carcass cutout value was up $1.54 on Friday afternoon at an average weighted price of $77.79. The national base hog carcass value was up $2.29 in the PM report at an average weighted price of $66.44. USDA estimated WTD FI hog slaughter at 2.508 million head through Saturday. Total pork stocks in cold storage at the end of Feb were 615.979 million pounds, up 1.02% vs. a year ago and 9.46% larger than January. Belly stocks were seen at 53.796 million pounds, just 0.11% larger than January. Money managers in lean hog futures and options flipped their net position by 11,723 contracts for the week that ended on Tuesday to a CFTC net long position of 8,090 contracts.Apr 19 Hogs closed at $78.325, unch,May 19 Hogs closed at $87.025, up $0.425Jun 19 Hogs closed at $95.675, up $0.925 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,705/1,550
First Notice Date
06/14/18
Expiration Date
06/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Jun '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 19, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
99,130 (+7,737)
113,975 (+33,817)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
75,834 (+2,376)
65,730 (-11,175)
Producers - Long / Short
31,906 (+3,100)
104,328 (+34,449)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
59,463 (+5,280)
1,886 (+11)
Managed Money - Long / Short
51,901 (-1,497)
42,651 (-15,478)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
23,933 (+3,873)
23,079 (+4,303)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
72.550 +11.89%
on 05/22/18
81.250 -0.09%
on 06/14/18
+5.025 (+6.60%)
since 05/14/18
3-Month
70.250 +15.55%
on 04/04/18
81.250 -0.09%
on 06/14/18
+2.825 (+3.61%)
since 03/14/18
52-Week
70.250 +15.55%
on 04/04/18
85.850 -5.45%
on 01/09/18
+3.275 (+4.20%)
since 06/14/17

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Lean Hog futures were anywhere from $2.10 lower to $1.075 higher on Friday, as April was up 13.84% following two limit up days this week. The 2020 contracts are anticipating over expansion due to these...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 81.325
1st Resistance Point 81.250
Last Price 81.175
1st Support Level 81.100
2nd Support Level 81.025

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52-Week High 85.850
Last Price 81.175
Fibonacci 61.8% 79.891
Fibonacci 50% 78.050
Fibonacci 38.2% 76.209
52-Week Low 70.250

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