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Lean Hogs Jun '18 (HEM18)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Lean Hogs Market News and Commentary

Lean Hog futures were mixed on Friday, with front months 32.5 to 50 cents lower and back months higher. April was down 6.85% on the week. The CME Lean Hog Index was down 7 cents from the previous day @ $54.06 on February 20. The USDA pork carcass cutout value was down $2.22 on Friday afternoon at an average weighted price of $59.01. The rib was the only primal reported higher, with the belly down $9.21. The national base cash hog carcass value was up 42 cents in the PM report, with a weighted average of $46.76. USDA estimated weekly FI hog slaughter at 2.512 million head through Saturday. That was down 2,000 head from the previous week but well above the same week last year. Accumulated pork export sales for the weeks of 1/10-2/14 were 122,900 MT, averaging 20,483 MT/week. China was both buying and shipping. Pork stocks in the freezer at the end of December were reported at 505.287 million pounds this afternoon. That was slightly lower than the previous month but up 3.11% from last year. China’s Ag ministry reported January sow numbers were down 15% from last year, with total inventory numbers down 13%.Apr 19 Hogs closed at $55.450, down $0.500,May 19 Hogs closed at $65.475, down $0.325Jun 19 Hogs closed at $75.900, up $0.225--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,485/1,350
First Notice Date
06/14/18
Expiration Date
06/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Jun '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 5, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
79,361 (+4,005)
65,120 (-3,972)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
67,426 (+3,832)
74,635 (+11,180)
Producers - Long / Short
22,297 (+2,977)
59,737 (-3,511)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
53,570 (+1,907)
1,889 (+418)
Managed Money - Long / Short
50,102 (+1,510)
56,547 (+7,801)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
17,324 (+2,322)
18,088 (+3,379)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
72.550 +11.89%
on 05/22/18
81.250 -0.09%
on 06/14/18
+5.025 (+6.60%)
since 05/14/18
3-Month
70.250 +15.55%
on 04/04/18
81.250 -0.09%
on 06/14/18
+2.825 (+3.61%)
since 03/14/18
52-Week
70.250 +15.55%
on 04/04/18
85.850 -5.45%
on 01/09/18
+3.275 (+4.20%)
since 06/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 81.325
1st Resistance Point 81.250
Last Price 81.175
1st Support Level 81.100
2nd Support Level 81.025

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52-Week High 85.850
Last Price 81.175
Fibonacci 61.8% 79.891
Fibonacci 50% 78.050
Fibonacci 38.2% 76.209
52-Week Low 70.250

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