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Feeder Cattle Aug '18 (GFQ18)

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cmdty Insider - Feeder Cattle Market Commentary


Live cattle futures were 27.5 to 45 cents lower in the front months on a Turnaround Tuesday fade. Feeder cattle futures were mostly 15 to 40 cents in the red. The CME feeder cattle index was up 31 cents on November 19 at $147.40 Wholesale beef prices were mixed on Tuesday afternoon. Choice boxes were up 70 cents at $214.09, with the Select cutout value 14 cents lower at $198.43. USDA estimated Tuesday’s FI cattle slaughter @ 119,000 head, with the weekly total at 238,000. That is 8,000 above the previous week but 5,000 below the same week in 2017. Trade surveys suggest the Cattle on Feed report (Wednesday) will show October placements UNCH vs. year ago. Published trade estimates range from 94% of October 2017 to 104.3%. Marketings are seen at 4.2% larger than last year. Wednesday’s FCE online auction has 459 head listed for sale. Little to no cash market activity has been reported so far this week.Dec 18 Cattle closed at $115.700, down $0.450,Feb 19 Cattle closed at $119.725, down $0.275,Apr 19 Cattle closed at $121.575, down $0.275,Jan 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $146.875, down $0.400Mar 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $144.150, down $0.175Apr 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $144.500, down $0.150--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Feeder Cattle
Contract Size
50,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$500
Margin/Maintenance
$3,080/2,800
First Notice Date
08/30/18
Expiration Date
08/30/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Feeder Cattle Aug '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Aug Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
15,103 (+76)
8,927 (-260)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
18,101 (-1,095)
20,965 (-30)
Producers - Long / Short
4,988 (+304)
7,759 (-614)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
9,055 (-474)
108 (+108)
Managed Money - Long / Short
11,722 (-1,857)
16,646 (+436)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,379 (+762)
4,319 (-466)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
148.250 +1.17%
on 08/14/18
153.000 -1.97%
on 08/06/18
+0.655 (+0.44%)
since 07/31/18
3-Month
142.175 +5.49%
on 06/15/18
154.925 -3.19%
on 07/19/18
+2.580 (+1.75%)
since 05/31/18
52-Week
135.000 +11.10%
on 04/04/18
159.200 -5.79%
on 11/06/17
+9.980 (+7.13%)
since 08/31/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 149.980
1st Resistance Point 149.980
Last Price 149.980s
1st Support Level 149.980
2nd Support Level 149.980

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52-Week High 159.200
Last Price 149.980s
Fibonacci 61.8% 149.956
Fibonacci 50% 147.100
Fibonacci 38.2% 144.244
52-Week Low 135.000

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