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Gold Apr '17 (GCJ17)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Rise on Dollar Weakness and Dovish Fed Commentary

Apr Comex gold (GCJ19) this morning is up +4.1 (+0.31%) and March silver (SIH19) is up +0.064 (+0.41%). Precious metals are higher this morning on a weaker dollar and dovish Fed commentary. New York Fed President Williams said "we have seen some worrying signs of a deterioration of measures of longer-run inflation expectations in recent years," which suggests he favors no additional Fed rate hikes, and Atlanta Fed President Bostic said "the direction of monetary policy over the next 12 to 18 months is not as clear as it was" due to trade concerns and slowdown in China and in the Eurozone. Limiting gains in precious metals this morning is a rally in stocks, which reduces the safe-haven demand for precious metals. Precious metals prices are seeing support from increased inflation expectations, which boosts demand for precious metals as an inflation hedge, after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate on Thursday rose to a 2-1/2 month high of 1.91%, up by +23 bp from the early-Jan 1-3/4 year low of 1.68%. Fund buying of precious metals is a bullish factor as global geopolitical concerns and stock market volatility have fueled demand for gold as a store of wealth after long gold positions in ETFs rose to a 5-3/4 year high on Jan 31. Also, fund demand for silver has increased after long silver positions in ETFs rose to a 5-week high on Thursday.
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