- Morning Grain Market Research
While the rain in Spain may fall mainly on the plain, obviously over the weekend in Argentina, they have not been so fortunate. Be it on the plains or...
- Daily Technical Spotlight - May Soybeans
Bulls have good upside technical momentum amid price uptrend, to suggest more gains in near term.
- What Is With Soybean
Whats With Soybeans?
- Tariffs May Force China’s Cancellation on Grain Sales. The Corn & Ethanol Report 02/20/18
After a long weekend we are back in the saddle today starting with Export Inspections at 10:00 A.M. But released late Friday may be the news in the big...
- Grain Market Update (2.20.18)
Grains start the week on firm footing going into March option expiration.
- Concerns Remain for Argentina
Grain markets monitor the latest forecasts out of Argentina as concernsremain for their crops. Outside markets turn their attention to the stock market...
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Soybean futures are a sharp 13 to 14 cents in the green this morning in the nearby contracts. They were steady to 2 3/4 cents lower on Friday on profit taking ahead of the long weekend. Preliminary open interest shot up 24,703 contracts on Friday, net new selling concentrated in the May. March was up 3.92% last week. Soy meal futures were down 40 cents/ton on Friday after posting life of contract highs, with nearby soy oil 16 points lower. Nearby meal gained 8.58% on the week. Total commitments for US soybean exports are running behind pace at 78% of the USDA projection. The average for this date is 90%, with last year at 78%. Managed money spec traders flipped their net position for the week of 2/13. They added 52,847 contracts to their net long position to 42,869 contracts. AgRural also estimates that the Brazil's soybean crop is 17% harvested vs. 26% last year. The harvest in Mato Grosso was at 45% complete, with Parana only at 5% harvested.
Wheat futures are currently 3 to 4 cents higher in the CBT and KC contracts, with MPLS steady to fractionally higher. They ended Friday with KC fractionally mixed, as most CBT and MPLS contracts were 3-4 cents lower. The market was closed on Monday for the President’s Day holiday. Informa expects to see the spring wheat acreage for this year’s crop hit 11.25 million acres, up a little from 2017 acres. Their total acreage number for all wheat is 46.14 million acres, slightly above last year. Typically export commitments are 89% of the USDA export projection by this time, with last year at 91%. This year, however, has only reached 82% of the number. FOB export prices in the Black Sea region have been rising, potentially aiding US competitiveness. The COT report showed spec funds in CBT wheat options and futures lower their net short position by 26,563 contracts to -56,831 contracts as of 2/13.
Corn futures are trading 1 to 2 cents higher this morning. They were fractionally lower on Friday, while nearby March was 1.52% higher on the week. US Export commitments of corn are now 69% of the full year USDA forecast. Last year at this time was 76% complete, with the average running 70% for this week. Friday’s CFTC Commitment of Traders report showed spec funds in corn futures and options trimming their net short position by 72,310 contracts. Their net position as of Feb 13 was -10.614 contracts, the smallest net short position since mid-August. Brazil’s 17/18 corn production number was updated to 89.463 MMT by analysts with Safras & Mercado on Friday.