- Soybeans - Just My Opinion
Just way too many shorts
- Grains rebound on demand optimism
Export sales strong on the week, seen improving.
- Morning Grain Market Research
Was it just a one-day fling, or are buyers returning to engage in a bit of courting with the grain and soy markets? It would be premature to start making...
- Morning Grains Report 09/20/18
DJ Analysts’ Estimates for September USDA Cattle-On-Feed Report The following estimates, as compiled by the Wall Street Journal for the nation’s feedyards...
- Harvest Momentum
- Economy Rolling. The Corn & Ethanol Report 09/20/18
We kickoff the day with Export Sales and Jobless Claims at 7:30 A.M. followed by Existing Home Sales at 9:00 A.M. and EIA Gas Storage [...]
cmdty Insider - Ag Market Commentary
Corn futures ended the Thursday session with nearby contracts 6 to 6 3/4 cents higher. USDA reported a private export sale of 160,020 MT of corn to Mexico for 18/19 delivery through their daily reporting system. This morning’s FAS Export Sales report indicated 1.384 MMT for 18/19 corn export bookings during the week of 9/13. That exceeded expectations and was 162.63% larger than the same week last year. Mexico purchased 344,600 MT, with South Korea buying 204,300 MT. There was also 9,653 MT in 19/20 sales. Shipments were shown at 1.078 MMT in that week, 53.15% larger than the same time in 2017. A Chinese auction from state reserves saw sales of ~3 MMT on Thursday, totaling 75.45% of the offered amount. The 6-10 day outlook shows above average chances for moisture.DEC 18 Corn closed at $3.52 1/2, up 6 3/4 cents,MAR 19 Corn closed at $3.64 3/4, up 6 3/4 cents,MAY 19 Corn closed at $3.72 3/4, up 6 1/4 centsJUL 19 Corn closed at $3.79, up 6 cents
Wheat futures saw steady to 2 1/4 cent gains in most contracts on Thursday, with a couple KC and MPLS contracts fractionally lower. Weakness in the US dollar index provided a little support, along with spillover strength in corn. The weekly Export Sales report showed all wheat bookings during the week of 9/13 at 468,433 MT, on the high side of trade estimates. That was a 20.9% jump from the week prior and 52.5% larger than the same week in 2017. The Philippines purchased 80,000 MT, with Indonesia buying 70,000 MT and Vietnam in for 61,000 MT. We are now through week 15, with still no reported sales for 19/20. Export shipments were reported at 315,143 MT, 26.55% below last week, with 150,600 MT headed to Japan.DEC 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.24, up 1 1/2 cents,DEC 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.27, up 3/4 cent,DEC 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.88 1/2, up 1/2 cent
Soybean futures posted gains of 19 to 20 1/4 cents in the front months on Thursday, supported by short covering and good export numbers. A Bloomberg report on Thursday showed that China is planning to trim their average tariff rate on imports from trading partners as soon as Oct. No word on if it includes the US. Soybean meal was up $5/ton, while soy oil was 35 points in the green. Showers over the next week or so could slow harvest. Export sales for 18/19 soybeans totaled 917,556 MT in the week that ended on 9/13, slightly above the range of trade estimates. That was well short of last year, but above the week prior. Sales to China were shown at a net reduction of 4,000 MT, with Mexico the lead buyer of 165,600 MT. Sales of 19/20 soybeans were reported at 80,000 MT. Actual exports were down from the week prior at 800,913 MT, with none of that to China. Soy meal sales totaled 137,356 MT, with 18,122 MT in soy oil sales.NOV 18 Soybeans closed at $8.50 1/4, up 20 1/4 cents,JAN 19 Soybeans closed at $8.64, up 20 1/4 cents,MAR 19 Soybeans closed at $8.77, up 19 3/4 cents,MAY 19 Soybeans closed at $8.89 3/4, up 19 1/2 cents,OCT 18 Soybean Meal closed at $311.40, up $5.00,OCT 18 Soybean Oil closed at $27.60, up $0.35