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Thu, Aug 16th, 2018
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes as of Thu, Aug 16th, 2018.
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Agricharts Market Commentary

Wed Aug 15, 4:18PM CDT
Wheat futures ended the Wednesday session with most contracts 9 to 13 cents lower, with MPLS the weakest. Rains over the last 24-hours are helping to build up soil moisture ahead of winter wheat planting. The weekly USDA Export Sales report will be released on Thursday morning at 7:30 a.m. CDT. Analysts’ estimates are running 200,000-500,000 MT for 18/19 all wheat export sales in the week that ended on August 9. US SRW FOB prices are now below Russia, though they do benefit from cheaper freight prices into the eastern Mediterranean.Sep 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.32 1/4, down 9 1/2 cents,Sep 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.35 1/4, down 10 1/2 cents,Sep 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.83 1/2, down 12 3/4 cents
Wed Aug 15, 4:18PM CDT
Corn futures ended the day steady to a penny lower in most contracts. Losses were limited by an export sale announcement this morning. The USDA reported a private export sale of 114,572 MT of corn split between 17/18 (55,000 MT) and 18/19 (59,572 MT) to unknown destinations. Weekly EIA data showed that ethanol production slowed 28,000 barrels per day in the week of 8/10 to 1.072 million bpd. It has been the highest since December in the previous week. Stocks of ethanol were reported at 23.017 million barrels, up 94,000 barrels from the previous week and the largest stockpile since mid-March. Old crop corn export sales in the week of 8/9 are expected to be 300,000-600,000 MT, with new crop estimated at 0.3-1 MMT. Celeres estimates that corn production in Brazil will total 104.1 MMT in 18/19 on increased acreage from larger second crop following soybeans. Argentina acreage is seen at 14.33 million acres for 18/19, up nearly 7.4% from last year.Sep 18 Corn closed at $3.61 1/2, down 3/4 cent,Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.76, down 1/2 cent,Mar 19 Corn closed at $3.87 3/4, down 1/4 centMay 19 Corn closed at $3.94 3/4, unch
Wed Aug 15, 4:18PM CDT
Soybean futures closed with the front months 8 to 11 cents in the red on Wednesday. Rain in the Corn Belt got much of the blame. Nearby soy meal was down $6.30/ton, with soy oil 40 points lower. This morning’s NOPA report showed members crushed the second largest total ever during July (lagging only March 2018) at 167.733 mbu. That was well above the average trade guess of 161.745 mbu. It was a 5.34% jump from June and up 15.9% from July 2017. Fat board crush margins and record large 4th quarter soybean stocks made it feasible. July 31 soy oil stocks were slightly lower than June at 1.764 billion pounds. Trade estimates are running anywhere from 100,000-400,000 MT for old crop export sales and 300,000-700,000 MT for new crop sales ahead of Thursday’s weekly FAS report. Brazil consultant Celeres estimates that the country’s soybean acreage will grow by 3.1% in 18/19 to 89.45 million acres. They also expect the country to produce 119.6 MMT of soybeans. China sold 127,270 MT of 2013 soybeans from state reserves on Wednesday, totaling 42.12% of the amount offered.Sep 18 Soybeans closed at $8.57 1/2, down 10 3/4 cents,Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.69, down 10 3/4 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.81, down 10 3/4 cents,May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.04, down 8 1/2 cents,Sep 18 Soybean Meal closed at $329.50, down $6.30,Sep 18 Soybean Oil closed at $27.88, down $0.40
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