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Tue, Dec 11th, 2018
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes as of Tue, Dec 11th, 2018.
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes, based on [[ timeframe ]] data.
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Futures Market Commentary


Jan Nymex natural gas (NGF19) this morning is down -0.102 (-2.24%). Nat-gas prices moved lower this morning after NOAA said it expects warmer-than-normal temperatures across most of the U.S. from Dec 16-20. The downside in nat-gas prices may be limited on signs of reduced U.S. nat-gas output after data today showed that U.S. natural gas production in the lower 48 states fell for a third day to 83.578 million cfd, a 3-1/2 week low. Thursday's weekly EIA inventory data is expected to show U.S. nat-gas stockpiles fell -82 bcf, more than the 5-year average of -79 bcf. U.S. nat-gas inventories remain tight at 2.991 bcf as of Nov 30, -19.5% below the 5-year average and -19.1% y/y and the lowest seasonally since 2002.

Jan WTI crude oil (CLF19) this morning is up by +$0.75 per barrel (+1.47%) and Feb Brent crude (CBG19) is up +$0.54 (+0.90%). Jan RBOB gasoline (RBF19) is up by +1.12 cents per gallon (+0.79%). Crude prices are higher this morning due to a weaker dollar and the action by Libya to declare force majeure at its Sharara oil field after an armed group forced a production halt at the oil field that will cause a loss of -315,000 bpd of crude output. Another bullish factor is smaller global crude production after Russian Energy Minister Novak said Russia will cut its oil production by 50,000 to 60,000 bpd starting in Jan. Finally, signs that China and the U.S are continuing trade talks has eased global trade tensions and fueled a rally in global equity markets, which improves confidence in the economic outlook that may lead to improved energy demand.
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