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Wed, Dec 12th, 2018
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes as of Wed, Dec 12th, 2018.
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes, based on [[ timeframe ]] data.
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Futures Market Commentary


Jan Nymex natural gas (NGF19) on Tuesday closed down -0.138 (-3.04%). Nat-gas prices moved lower Tuesday after NOAA said it expects warmer-than-normal temperatures across most of the U.S. from Dec 16-20. A rally in the dollar index to a 4-week high Tuesday also weighed on nat-gas prices. The downside in nat-gas prices may be limited in the near-term on signs of reduced U.S. nat-gas output after data today showed that U.S. natural gas production in the lower 48 states fell for a third day to 83.578 million cfd, a 3-1/2 week low. Thursday's weekly EIA inventory data is expected to show U.S. nat-gas stockpiles fell -82 bcf, more than the 5-year average of -79 bcf. U.S. nat-gas inventories remain tight at 2.991 bcf as of Nov 30, -19.5% below the 5-year average and -19.1% y/y and the lowest seasonally since 2002.

Jan WTI crude oil (CLF19) on Tuesday closed up by +$0.65 per barrel (+1.27%) and Feb Brent crude (CBG19) closed up +$0.60 (+1.00%). Jan RBOB gasoline (RBF19) closed up by +2.09 cents per gallon (+1.47). Crude prices moved higher Tuesday after Libya declared force majeure at its Sharara oil field when an armed group forced a production halt at the oil field that will cause a loss of -315,000 bpd of crude output. Another bullish factor is the outlook for smaller global crude production after Russian Energy Minister Novak said Russia will cut its oil production by 50,000 to 60,000 bpd starting in Jan. Finally, signs that China and the U.S are continuing trade talks eased global trade tensions and fueled a rally in global equity markets, which improves confidence in the economic outlook that may lead to improved energy demand. Crude prices fell back from their best levels Tuesday after the dollar index rose to a 4-week high.
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