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10-Year T-Note Dec '18 (ZNZ18)

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10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

T-Note Prices Drop to a 1-Week Low as Stocks Rebound

June 10-year T-notes on Tuesday closed down by -4.5 ticks at a 1-week low and the 10-year T-note yield rose by +1.2 bp to a 1-week high of 2.428%. T-note prices were under pressure the entire day Tuesday after a rally in stocks reduced the safe-haven demand for T-notes. Stocks rallied in overnight trade and extended their gains Tuesday after the U.S. late Monday granted a 90-day reprieve that will allow operations to continue for existing Huawei mobile phone users and rural broadband network providers. Global technology stocks sold off Monday after the U.S. late last week blacklisted Huawei, potentially cutting it off from the U.S. software and semiconductors it needs to manufacture and support its products. Another negative for T-note prices Tuesday was negative carry-over from a jump in the 10-year German bund yield to a 1-week high of -0.055% after Eurozone May consumer confidence rose +0.8 to a 7-month high of -6.5, stronger than expectations of +0.2 to -7.7. T-notes found support Tuesday on the cut by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) its 2019 global GDP forecast to 3.2% from a March projection of 3.3%, which was dovish for Fed policy. Also, T-notes found support on Tuesday's data that showed U.S. Apr existing home sales unexpectedly fell -0.4% to 5.19 million, weaker than consensus of +2.7% to 5.35 million. U.S. Inflation expectations increased Tuesday as the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate rose by +1.7 bp to 1.840% from Monday's 1-1/2 month low of 1.814%.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$1,155/1,050
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/19/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

10-Year T-Note Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 14, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
2,800,696 (+80,760)
2,499,721 (+71,975)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
616,402 (+38,795)
969,219 (+61,050)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
203,574 (+5,978)
207,084 (+33,101)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,781,827 (+74,481)
905,132 (-49,037)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
387,151 (+30,747)
1,368,982 (+108,993)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
306,348 (-11,638)
249,544 (+19,981)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
119-005 +1.60%
on 11/21/18
121-060 -0.22%
on 12/19/18
+1-200 (+1.36%)
since 11/19/18
3-Month
117-135 +2.98%
on 10/08/18
121-060 -0.22%
on 12/19/18
+2-115 (+1.99%)
since 09/19/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 121-095
1st Resistance Point 121-035
Last Price 120-295s
1st Support Level 120-260
2nd Support Level 120-225

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52-Week High 121-060
Last Price 120-295s
Fibonacci 61.8% 119-240
Fibonacci 50% 119-100
Fibonacci 38.2% 118-275
52-Week Low 117-135

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InsideFutures Commentary

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