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Gasoline RBOB Dec '18 (RBZ18)

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Gasoline RBOB Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude Oil Falls Back as Weak Stocks Stoke Demand Concerns

May WTI crude oil (CLK19) on Wednesday closed down by -0.29 (-0.45%) and Jun Brent crude oil (CBM19) closed down by -0.10 (-0.14%). May RBOB gasoline (RBK19) closed up by +0.0101 (+0.50%). Crude prices gave up early gains Wednesday and closed lower since a slide in stock prices prompted long liquidation in crude futures as weaker equity prices crimp confidence in the economic outlook and in energy demand. Another bearish factor was the -1.17 million bbl decline in EIA gasoline inventories, less than expectations for a -2.0 million bbl decline. Crude prices had opened higher Wednesday and Jun Brent crude posted a fresh 5-1/4 month high on a weaker dollar and stronger-than-expected economic data from China, the world's second-largest crude oil consumer, after China Q1 GDP grew at a 6.4% y/y pace, stronger than expectations of 6.3% y/y, and after China Mar industrial production rose +8.5% y/y, the fastest pace of increase in 4-1/2 years. Also on the bullish side, concern continues that Libya crude output could be disrupted as an offensive from a militia loyal to Khalifa Haftar threatens an all-out war against Libyan government troops. Also, Feb trade data on Wednesday showed U.S. Feb crude exports jumped to a record 2.99 million bpd. Wednesday's EIA data showed that U.S. crude inventories as of Apr 12 were -0.1% below the 5-year average, gasoline supplies were -1.0% below the 5-year average, and distillate stockpiles were -5.8% below the 5-year average. U.S. crude production in the week ended Apr 12 was down -0.8% w/w at 12.1 million bpd, just below the recent record high of 12.2 million bpd.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$42,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,620/4,200
First Notice Date
12/04/18
Expiration Date
11/30/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 9, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
194,426 (+5,832)
295,920 (+9,048)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
147,952 (+5,625)
59,451 (+2,554)
Producers - Long / Short
126,172 (+5,886)
262,334 (+7,523)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
46,605 (+441)
11,937 (+2,020)
Managed Money - Long / Short
108,517 (+4,289)
4,128 (-3,013)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
39,435 (+1,336)
55,323 (+5,567)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.3753 +4.80%
on 11/29/18
1.8332 -21.38%
on 10/31/18
-0.3610 (-20.03%)
since 10/30/18
3-Month
1.3753 +4.80%
on 11/29/18
2.1464 -32.85%
on 10/03/18
-0.5323 (-26.97%)
since 08/30/18
52-Week
1.3753 +4.80%
on 11/29/18
2.1464 -32.85%
on 10/03/18
-0.2243 (-13.47%)
since 11/28/17

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Crude Oil Falls Back as Weak Stocks Stoke Demand Concerns

May WTI crude oil (CLK19) on Wednesday closed down by -0.29 (-0.45%) and Jun Brent crude oil (CBM19) closed down by -0.10 (-0.14%). May RBOB gasoline (RBK19) closed up by +0.0101 (+0.50%). Crude prices...

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May WTI crude oil (CLK19) this morning is up by +0.38 (+0.59%) and Jun Brent crude oil (CBM19) is up by +0.34 (+0.47%). May RBOB gasoline (RBK19) is up by +0.0133 (+0.65%). The energy complex is higher...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.4850
1st Resistance Point 1.4631
Last Price 1.4413s
1st Support Level 1.4147
2nd Support Level 1.3882

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52-Week High 2.1464
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.8518
Fibonacci 50% 1.7608
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.6699
Last Price 1.4413s
52-Week Low 1.3753

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