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Gasoline RBOB Jan '19 (RBF19)

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Gasoline RBOB Futures Market News and Commentary

Energy Complex is Mixed as Demand Concerns Offset Increased Iran Tensions

Aug WTI crude oil (CLN19) this morning is down -0.27 (-0.47%), and Aug Brent crude oil (CBQ19) is up +0.05 (+0.08%). Aug RBOB gasoline (RBN19) is up +0.0181 (+1.00%). The energy complex is mixed this morning. Aug WTI crude oil fell back from a 3-week high and moved lower after weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data bolstered concerns about an economic slowdown that would be negative for fuel demand. Today's data showed that May new home sales unexpectedly fell -7.8% to a 5-month low of 626,000, weaker than expectations of +1.6% to 684,000. Also, the Conference Board's U.S. Jun consumer confidence fell -9.8 to a 1-3/4 year low of 121.5, weaker than expectations of -3.1 to 131.0. Losses in crude were limited by increased Iran tensions after Iran said today the action by the U.S. on Monday to impose additional sanctions on Iran has closed off any diplomatic means for a solution. President Trump then ratcheted up the rhetoric by saying today that any attack by Iran on the U.S. or its interests will be answered with "great and overwhelming force." Gasoline prices still have support from supply concerns after a fire and explosion shuttered gasoline output last Friday at the Philadelphia Energy Solutions oil refinery, the largest refinery on the U.S. East Coast with processing capacity of 350,000 bpd of crude oil. Robust U.S. gasoline demand is supportive for prices after the EIA reported that U.S. gasoline demand rose +0.5% w/w for the week of June 14 to a record 9.928 million bpd. Last Wednesday's EIA data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories as of June 14 were a hefty +8.3% above the 5-year average, gasoline inventories were +1.3% above the 5-year average, and distillate inventories were -5.3% below the 5-year average.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$42,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,620/4,200
First Notice Date
01/03/19
Expiration Date
12/31/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB Jan '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jan Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 18, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
164,677 (-5,485)
241,391 (-5,576)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
124,347 (-1,227)
51,223 (-2,057)
Producers - Long / Short
93,650 (-7,874)
202,465 (-9,704)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
47,840 (-543)
15,739 (+1,196)
Managed Money - Long / Short
82,733 (+304)
6,072 (-981)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
41,614 (-1,531)
45,151 (-1,076)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.2450 +6.32%
on 12/26/18
1.5177 -12.78%
on 12/07/18
-0.0782 (-5.58%)
since 11/30/18
3-Month
1.2450 +6.32%
on 12/26/18
2.1467 -38.34%
on 10/03/18
-0.7504 (-36.18%)
since 09/28/18
52-Week
1.2450 +6.32%
on 12/26/18
2.1467 -38.34%
on 10/03/18
-0.3824 (-22.41%)
since 12/29/17

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The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.3918
1st Resistance Point 1.3578
Last Price 1.3237s
1st Support Level 1.2985
2nd Support Level 1.2732

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52-Week High 2.1467
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.8023
Fibonacci 50% 1.6958
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.5894
Last Price 1.3237s
52-Week Low 1.2450

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