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Natural Gas Nov '21 (NGX21)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Recovers from Early Losses on Dollar Weakness

November Nymex natural gas (NGX21) on Tuesday closed up +0.099 (+1.98%).

Nov nat-gas prices on Tuesday initially extended Monday's sell-off down to a 3-1/2 week low, but a weaker dollar sparked short-covering, causing nat-gas to settle moderately higher.  The prospects for above-normal U.S. temperatures over the next few weeks are negative for nat-gas prices.  The Commodity Weather Group on Tuesday said that the U.S. should see predominantly warmer-than-normal weather at least through Nov 2, which should reduce heating demand for nat-gas.

Milder weather was also forecast in parts of Europe, reducing concern that European users will hoard nat-gas supplies, which are at the lowest level in more than ten years.  In another bearish factor, BNEF reported Tuesday that heating demand this month for nat-gas is expected to be the lowest in almost 20 years, which should allow producers to add more nat-gas supplies to underground storage and ease concerns about tight supplies.

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$7,040/6,400
First Notice Date
10/28/21 (8 days)
Expiration Date
10/27/21 (7 days)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Nov '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 12, 2021

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
582,327 (-28,376)
491,126 (-22,940)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
272,106 (-17,156)
403,008 (-19,962)
Producers - Long / Short
185,947 (-25,749)
327,793 (-18,076)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
317,814 (-2,135)
84,767 (-4,372)
Managed Money - Long / Short
222,318 (-17,780)
194,448 (-12,235)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
49,788 (+624)
208,560 (-7,727)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
4.766 +3.57%
on 09/21/21
6.466 -23.66%
on 10/06/21
-0.086 (-1.71%)
since 09/20/21
3-Month
3.828 +28.94%
on 08/19/21
6.466 -23.66%
on 10/06/21
+1.032 (+26.43%)
since 07/20/21
52-Week
2.617 +88.61%
on 12/28/20
6.466 -23.66%
on 10/06/21
+1.851 (+60.00%)
since 10/20/20

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Our system initiated HOX length into Tuesday's session lows. DVA indicators are geared to establish length in CLZ and RBX. The strategy for NGX is to sit on the bench.

CLZ22 : 72.29 (-0.62%)
HOX21 : 2.5413 (-0.76%)
HOZ21 : 2.5324 (-0.76%)
RBX21 : 2.4485 (-1.09%)
RBZ21 : 2.3917 (-1.07%)
NGX21 : 4.938 (-2.95%)
NGZ21 : 5.214 (-2.54%)
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CLZ21 : 81.58 (-1.04%)
RBZ21 : 2.3917 (-1.07%)
Nat-Gas Recovers from Early Losses on Dollar Weakness

November Nymex natural gas (NGX21 ) on Tuesday closed up +0.099 (+1.98%). Nov nat-gas prices on Tuesday initially extended Monday's sell-off down to a 3-1/2 week low, but a weaker dollar sparked short-covering,...

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November WTI crude oil (CLX21 ) this morning is up +0.11 (+0.13%), and November RBOB gasoline (RBX21 ) is down -0.0196 (-0.79%). November Nymex natural gas (NGX21) is down -0.011 (-0.22%). Nov WTI crude...

CLZ21 : 81.58 (-1.04%)
RBZ21 : 2.3917 (-1.07%)
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CLX21 : 82.12 (-1.01%)
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NGX21 : 4.938 (-2.95%)
LUX21 : 198.90 (-1.73%)
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Details of our system directives and positions are in the narrative below:

CLX21 : 82.12 (-1.01%)
CLZ22 : 72.29 (-0.62%)
HOX21 : 2.5413 (-0.76%)
HOZ21 : 2.5324 (-0.76%)
RBX21 : 2.4485 (-1.09%)
RBZ21 : 2.3917 (-1.07%)
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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 5.459
2nd Resistance Point 5.279
1st Resistance Point 5.184
Last Price 4.926
1st Support Level 4.909
2nd Support Level 4.729
3rd Support Level 4.634

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52-Week High 6.466
Fibonacci 61.8% 4.996
Last Price 4.927
Fibonacci 50% 4.542
Fibonacci 38.2% 4.087
52-Week Low 2.617

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