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Natural Gas Apr '19 (NGJ19)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Natural Gas Prices Settle Higher on the Outlook for Warm U.S. Weather

May Nymex natural gas (NGK19) on Monday closed up by +0.034 (+1.37%). May nat-gas prices moved higher Monday on the outlook for warmer U.S. temperatures that may boost nat-gas demand for air conditioning. Radiant Solutions forecasts above-normal temperatures across most of the lower 48 U.S. states through April 26, with heat lingering in the southern U.S. through May 6. Nat-gas prices last Thursday fell to a 2-3/4 year nearest-futures low on a bigger-than-expected increase in U.S. nat-gas stockpiles. Last Thursday's weekly EIA nat-gas inventories jumped by 92 bcf, the third weekly gain, higher than expectations of 90 bcf and well above the 5-year average of 21 bcf for the week. U.S. nat-gas production remains strong and is another bearish factor as Monday’s data showed U.S. 48-state nat-gas production at 85.228 bcf, up +7.2% y/y. Nat-gas prices still have underlying support from continued tight supplies, which stood at 1.247 tcf as of April 12, down -4.0% y/y and -24.9% below the 5-year average.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$1,815/1,650
First Notice Date
03/28/19
Expiration Date
03/26/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Apr '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
599,003 (+23,785)
587,415 (+13,382)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
242,187 (+11,550)
292,308 (+26,577)
Producers - Long / Short
266,951 (+12,974)
290,551 (+4,761)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
175,312 (+3,481)
140,124 (+1,291)
Managed Money - Long / Short
190,417 (-3,562)
117,590 (+32,538)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
51,770 (+15,112)
174,718 (-5,961)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.671 +1.57%
on 03/27/19
2.897 -6.35%
on 03/19/19
-0.086 (-3.07%)
since 02/27/19
3-Month
2.565 +5.77%
on 02/07/19
2.932 -7.47%
on 01/15/19
-0.172 (-5.96%)
since 12/27/18
52-Week
2.523 +7.53%
on 05/10/18
3.060 -11.34%
on 12/05/18
+0.047 (+1.76%)
since 03/27/18

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Natural Gas Prices Settle Higher on the Outlook for Warm U.S. Weather

May Nymex natural gas (NGK19) on Monday closed up by +0.034 (+1.37%). May nat-gas prices moved higher Monday on the outlook for warmer U.S. temperatures that may boost nat-gas demand for air conditioning....

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 48% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2.766
1st Resistance Point 2.740
Last Price 2.713s
1st Support Level 2.679
2nd Support Level 2.644

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52-Week High 3.060
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.855
Fibonacci 50% 2.792
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.728
Last Price 2.713s
52-Week Low 2.523

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InsideFutures Commentary

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