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Gold Dec '18 (GCZ18)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Up Slightly on Speculation Central Banks Will be Slow to Curb Stimulus

Jun Comex gold (GCM19) this morning is up by +1.4 (+0.11%) and May silver (SIK19) is up by +0.036 (+0.24%). Metals prices are slightly higher this morning on speculation central banks will be slow to reduce stimulus after the Eurozone Apr Markit composite PMI unexpectedly fell -0.3 to 51.3, weaker than expectations of +0.2 to 51.8. Silver prices found support on stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data that is positive for industrial metals demand after weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fell -5,000 to a 49-3/4 year low of 192,000, and after Mar retail sales rose +1.6%, stronger than expectations of +1.0% and the biggest increase in 1-1/2 years. Gains in metals were limited as the dollar index jumped to a 1-1/2 week high today. Metal prices have been under pressure this week as Jun gold fell to a 3-1/2 month low Tuesday on strength in stocks that undercut safe-haven demand for precious metals. Long liquidation of precious metals picked up after the S&P 500 rallied to a 6-1/2 month high this week. Long gold positions in ETFs fell to a 2-week low Tuesday and long silver positions in ETFs fell to a 5-week low on Wednesday.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gold 100-oz
Contract Size
100 fine troy ounces
Tick Size
0.10 (10 cents) per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:20a.m. - 12:30p.m.) (Settles 12:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$3,740/3,400
First Notice Date
11/30/18
Expiration Date
12/27/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gold Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
145,702 (+13,224)
224,132 (-41,155)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
183,213 (-16,294)
126,940 (+32,797)
Producers - Long / Short
18,586 (+2,344)
61,796 (-14,043)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
102,113 (+12,828)
137,333 (-25,164)
Managed Money - Long / Short
96,196 (-21,721)
111,583 (+30,703)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
87,017 (+5,427)
15,357 (+2,094)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1,210.5 +5.52%
on 11/28/18
1,277.4 -0.01%
on 12/26/18
+63.9 (+5.27%)
since 11/27/18
3-Month
1,184.3 +7.85%
on 09/28/18
1,277.4 -0.01%
on 12/26/18
+89.9 (+7.57%)
since 09/27/18
52-Week
1,167.1 +9.44%
on 08/16/18
1,392.3 -8.26%
on 01/25/18
-36.8 (-2.80%)
since 12/27/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1,277.7
1st Resistance Point 1,277.5
Last Price 1,277.3s
1st Support Level 1,276.9
2nd Support Level 1,276.5

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52-Week High 1,392.3
Fibonacci 61.8% 1,306.3
Fibonacci 50% 1,279.7
Last Price 1,277.3s
Fibonacci 38.2% 1,253.1
52-Week Low 1,167.1

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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